Suggestion: Blizzardy Storm Cool Capuchon at 19–21 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~25 keys

blizz

39 votes up

2 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 17 Sep 21 11:27:21 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Pricing Event September 2021

Squad 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7657663720

Sale 1: Bulk / untraceable

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1626048000/1626134400

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071156226#!/compare/1622505600/1626652800

https://backpack.tf/item/8012136482

Sale 2: 19 keys

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133060031#!/compare/1627689600/1627776000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043813839#!/compare/1627603200/1627776000

Sale 3: 17 keys

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043813839#!/compare/1626566400/1626652800

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1626566400/1626652800

https://backpack.tf/item/7975324260

Sale 4: Untrace

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198399952171#!/compare/1626134400/1630627200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1626480000/1626566400

Looks like 6 keys match the compare.

Sale 5: $60 via marketplace https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31029;5;u30

Keys were 1.90 at the time, 60/1.9 = 31.57 (rounded to 32k)

Sales at 17, 19, 32…

Excluding 17 as it is below buyers, excluding 32 as there is a current seller at 21 keys

Looks like 6 keys match the compare in sale 4, the buyout was 21 too https://gladiator.tf/listings/60f2f953e0ac696b30bea5e7

Taking 19 - 21.

(Credits to Lemons for pointing this out)

Credits to Cedar

The 21 key sale doesn't show in the compare links it seems, so we can't really use that sale. That means we'd go and base sales only on b/o's which isn't enough to prove a sale happened. Unless you can get proof of that 21 sale I'd exclude it.

Resuggested from here:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/613b8c48d38f9a2e477ba304

Lemon thinks that we should include the 21 sales too.

I'm afraid Erik is right here, this is a mistake on my behalf. If there was more definitive proof (such as a bigger % of the keys present in the compare links) I would say 21 would have been fine here, but since there's only 6 keys present it's tricky to determine what the sale was, since gladiator.tf shows buyouts only. It's likely it sold for 21 but we can't be sure it wasn't a 10 key unusual + 15 keys for instance.

Sorry for the confusion!

Ok no problems resubmitting this suggestion.