Price Suggestion
~850 keys
spellbnd
Unusual Tippler's Tricorne Spellbound
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Resuggesting this for correctness’ sake.


https://backpack.tf/item/2054413804


Sale 1: Sold alongside a PE veil, Kwatt HKC, and isotope seriously snowed medigun for a spellbound headsplitter

Bulk, better used on the headsplitter.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1631836800/1631923200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1631836800/1631923200


Sale 2: Sold for a hellfire milkman and 35 keys, better used on the milkman

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1630713600/1630800000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184172198#!/compare/1630713600/1630800000


Sale 3: sold for an ooze merc’s mohawk (280) and 260 keys, 540

Buyer: xhttps://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184172198#!/compare/1630281600/1630368000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1630281600/1630368000


Sale 4: sold for a stormy 13th hour tipplers tricorne, better used on the tricorne


Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1630022400/1630108800

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197908394#!/compare/1629936000/1630108800


Sale 5: Sold alongside a scorching pyromancers mask and 8 unlocked demo crates for a duped scorching TC

Bulk sale, ignoring

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197908394#!/compare/1628294400/1628899200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1628812800/1628899200


Sale 6: Sold for 365 keys + a GE blast defense (102.5) + a Strange Nether Trail Duck Billed Hatypus (250 from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/614f1ab6a15a070fb15347b0) = 717.5 keys, rounding to 720

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115354925#!/compare/1631836800/1632528000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1632441600/1632528000


2 bulk sales, 2 sales where I need this to price the other hat, two actual sales I can use.


Taking 540-720, what is this

    I'm a bit on the fence here since literally every other sale screams this is too high - The scorching TC sale would - at sellers - be below the low end. The other tricorn sale was on a BO of 400, far lower than either sale. The splitter sale is far above the other sale there. Even the milkman ends up inflating that djustice's high end (especially considering that was as good as in-date when those sales happened), but I suppose that got a new sale now.


    The only problem is that Im not sure what to do with this. Even if we remove 720 here as being an outlier (which would be a bit arbitrary I guess) we're still quite far above what the other sales would imply, but perhaps its the only thing we can do here to keep the overshooting limited here. But then the question is if that is favored over simply leaving it outdated

      Would it be possible that this should just be used as a mini for the headsplitter suggestion instead of as a full suggestion then? The sales do feel quite outlandish.


      or is even that sale too unreasonable based off this pricing?


      Alternatively, for a non-arbitrary reason to remove 720- we effectively removed a sale at 400 (the stormy 13th tricorne) as it had to be used there. Definitely agreeing 720 is too high.

        Currently discussing with the other mods.


        One of the issues with it is that it would then inflate everything its used for (which I guess is an issue more often when its halloweens selling for each other). I'll see if we can get to a consensus.

          Not getting a lot of responses regarding this case. I think with the amount of sales that are or would be lower, which cannot be included, it is fair to at least exclude 720 here.

            So just 540 flat?

              Yeah, I think thats the fairest solution here. That could then be used to give the milkman a range and slightly adjust the splitter (the latter of which also needs to take the change in the veil into account if I recall correctly).