https://backpack.tf/item/9172023981

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073695780#!/compare/1616457600/1629331200

untraceable scm sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073695780#!/compare/1629331200/1629590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199129094746#!/compare/1629244800/1629417600

only 4k matches, seemingly untraceable on buyer's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198250618872#!/compare/1628380800/1629504000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199129094746#!/compare/1629417600/1629504000

c9 dread can be seen on both compares here, guessing 30 ref was added, new pending sugg for knot at 9k: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/617163ede67ce9465e0eda59

making this sale 9.5k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198250618872#!/compare/1631404800/1632614400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025618418#!/compare/1631318400/1631923200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/4470505621

MP sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30406;5;u35

key https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-08-20&site=marketplace.tf

~16k

just barely outdated sale for STEAMING ponytail at ~17k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30406;5;u36, which I guess supports the smoking sale at 16 too.

no choice but to taking a range here, rounding to 10-16k.