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Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100587328#!/compare/1634947200/1635033600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1634947200/1635033600
Sold for 70 keys pure
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147078303#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
Sold for 73 keys
---Dupe sales---
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1630022400/1630108800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1630022400/1630108800
bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1633305600/1633392000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248578380#!/compare/1632700800/1633996800
traded to MPTF bot
most recent sale on MPTF is on july 5th, therefore excluding it.
In summary
2 sales (not duped) at 70,73
Going with a range of 70-73.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/517;5;u9 - The duped one sold for $200 (104 Keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274544005#!/compare/1635379200/1635552000 - 65 Keys + Pro KS Big Kill (~11 Keys at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274544005#!/compare/1636070400/1636156800 - Sulphurous Detective Noir (89 Keys)
Noir sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311297599#!/compare/1632960000/1633046400 - Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331167728#!/compare/1635638400/1635811200 - 73 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199244659#!/compare/1635638400/1635811200 - Added 20 Keys for a Frozen Icefall Brain Bowl (125 Keys)
Taking 73 to 105 for the Noir averages to 89 Keys
With Buyers at 77.6 Keys, I'd go 76 to 89 here using the Big Kill and Noir sales. It wouldn't be ideal to eliminate 75% of the usable sales because of buy orders that have been rapidly rising and weren't this high when any of these sales happened.
Closing due to lack of response.