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Fire zapper
https://backpack.tf/item/8289254074
Sale 1: 14 keys
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041740653#!/compare/1632441600/1634688000
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153675141#!/compare/1634083200/1634947200
Sale 2: Pyroland nightmare snowcapped (20, excluding as zapator then sold for 14)
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153675141#!/compare/1633392000/1633996800
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126157866#!/compare/1633392000/1633478400
Sale 3: SCM Sale? Can’t be sure on the exact date because buyer compare window is too big, excluding.
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126157866#!/compare/1556323200/1633132800
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340104803#!/compare/1628467200/1628553600
Taking 14k
Sale 3 is ~29 keys (credits K1ng)
https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US¤cy=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Unusual%20El%20Zapateador
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126157866?time=1633219200 --- tradable on Oct 3rd
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126157866?time=1633132800 --- untradable on Oct 2nd
That means that it went 29 -> 20 -> 14. Excluding the sales that sold for less leaves us with 14 flat, which doesn't make much sense from a statistical standpoint - usually we want to balance outliers on each end, not take the lowest sale.
This is best left unpriced.