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Wicked sick
Sale 1: $59.99 on marketplace https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31042;5;u126
59.99/1.84 = 32.6k, rounding to 33k
Couldn’t find the item history for this one.
https://backpack.tf/item/8153476907
Sale 2: 21 keys
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1636243200/1636329600
Sale 3: Untrace
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133002929#!/compare/1635984000/1636243200
Taking 21-33?
https://backpack.tf/item/8165109192 - History for the Marketplace sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263836417#!/compare/1630540800/1630627200 - Quicksold for 35 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140719727#!/compare/1631232000/1631318400 - Presumably less than the 33 the person paid to get this back
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213512269#!/compare/1632700800/1632787200 - Bulk sale for 41 Keys (with the other Bottle Cap)
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/552219068535537665/916779857524977724/unknown.png - 31 Keys + ~1 Key of Items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086416#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200 - ?
The 21 Key sale is a quicksell, as it sold in under a day.
From that second history, the sale order goes 35 -> something presumably lower -> 33 to buy it back from the same person -> bulk in pure -> 32 -> some unknown amount in an auction.
Given most of the sales in the 30s were dumps/buybacks from one person, I'd wait for more sales before pricing this.