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Reindeer !
https://backpack.tf/item/10771859237
Sale 1: 250 keys
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003724587#!/compare/1634688000/1634860800
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086192598#!/compare/1633824000/1634947200
https://backpack.tf/item/10746060799
Sale 2: bulk for PE headprize
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000
Sale 3: MG woodsman + pyroland daydream wide brimmed bandito
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1635984000/1636070400
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1635984000/1636070400
No woodsman or bandito minis are possible (only sale on the woodsman since the last suggestion 11 months ago, only sale on the bandito since 2020). This sale has to be excluded, but it’s probably in-range here.
Sale 4: 145 keys
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1634169600/1634256000
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254263629#!/compare/1633910400/1634256000
Taking 145-250.
Sale 3 included a Pumpkin Moon Berlin Brain Bowl on my end.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/796054008086396941/912694956785827881/unknown.png
Good to know, but I can't put a pricepoint on the other 2 items so I can't use the sale regardless.
With the bowl at 160 now, that sale will (at current values) probably be around 350 (guesstimating the brim) - seems like the sales are all over the place on this one. It may be best to wait for more data before pricing this
makes sense