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resug of https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ae75e4f9502405d33983b9#comment-61ae80c4dbc26e51ba38fc05
Never suggested or priced, lets change that.
Marketplace.tf sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31156;5;u3006
33.99/18.5 a key = 18.37 keys.
rounding down to 18
first sale: (last day indate as of making this sug)
https://backpack.tf/item/10314517464
https://gladiator.tf/listings/615dfb6dfc91f5d85e57e23f
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077284327#!/compare/1632960000/1633910400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1633564800/1633651200
Buyout was 14 pure, not sure what exactly it went for here but i expect 14 as there was a buy order for 12 that day.
sale 2: (mix with terrible backpack history)
https://backpack.tf/item/10078387607
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043903748#!/compare/1634169600/1634256000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960442371#!/compare/1630886400/1635379200
sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/item/9956162211
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6182c76b01f0fdb02c4d0cae
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198413561667#!/compare/1635897600/1635984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077063170#!/compare/1635897600/1635984000
listed for 12. looks like 11 pure plus a few ks kits. taking 12 on this sale.
sale 4: same history as sale 3 https://backpack.tf/item/9956162211
sold in mix (had it listed at 18, though its hard to tell where the value of it was meant in this trade)
also buyer resold 3 days later at 12 as per above
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198413561667#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
https://gladiator.tf/listings/617fac7f93b2993f011cdde9
Going to omit this sale as i have no further info in it.
sale 5: same history as 3 and 4.
again, used in mix and cant tell,
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1635552000/1635638400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050433855#!/compare/1635552000/1635638400
starstorm insomnia hat with no name for taunt + 1 pure + post life voices rotation sensation,.
Sale 6 same history as the last 3
to large of a mix.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064968116#!/compare/1635206400/1635465600
cant even find it on this side no matter what dates i put in lol
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050433855#!/compare/1635465600/1635552000
sale 7 same history again.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064968116#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
large mix
sale 8: can you guess what history it is?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1635033600/1635120000
cant locate it on this side he had it so shortly
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199133932832#!/compare/1634947200/1635120000
cant tell sorry.
sale 9: same history.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442469360#!/compare/1634947200/1635120000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199133932832#!/compare/1634947200/1635120000
cash sale by the looks of it.
sale 10 https://backpack.tf/item/9700464279
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6192e43a31cf267cd80b25e7
think he just removed the item from his bot. (though im not 100% sure who owns what bots) and placed it on marketplace.tf
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1636934400/1637020800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1636934400/1637020800
sale 11 sold to bot
same as above history https://backpack.tf/item/9700464279
https://gladiator.tf/listings/61916296a7c06555632c8577
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102484730#!/compare/1636588800/1636934400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400
11 keys
sale 12 same history https://backpack.tf/item/9700464279
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102484730#!/compare/1636588800/1636934400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199188158282#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400
im unfamiliar with what site this bot belongs to. cant price this sale.
sale 13 same history https://backpack.tf/item/9700464279
same as above, dont recognise the site
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199067942617#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199188158282#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600
odd.
sale 14 https://backpack.tf/item/9619493628
sold to a bot for 10.5 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/617ac99ffb323f9295e2a585
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023051867#!/compare/1635465600/1635552000
not certain why its not showing up on the bot on this day but other items sold to the bot are there, history shows the move though.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099031605#!/compare/1638144000/1638316800
taking 10.5
sale 15: https://backpack.tf/item/9552918555
https://gladiator.tf/listings/616d2fc0d662dc4370dd245d
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165127929#!/compare/1634256000/1634688000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1634601600/1634688000
taking 13.5
sale 16 (and final sale)
same history as above https://backpack.tf/item/9552918555
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198347030742#!/compare/1633824000/1634428800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1634256000/1634342400
assuming quicksale as it was listed and sold for only 13.5 by new owner. likely 11 keys. but i dont have any solid proof so im going to omit this one.
usable sales are 18, 14, 12, 11, 10.5 , 13.5
bots buying at 11
https://imgur.com/a/vSwQBqZ
18 is an outlier in this. I'm taking 11 -14.
cheers to Vege and The Real Slim Strange
Thanks for coming to my ted talk
- Sale 15 wasn't for 13.5 pure. ~5 keys were added with the Boston Boarder and these were obtained:
https://backpack.tf/item/3730599867
https://backpack.tf/item/2817172667
https://backpack.tf/item/10296705340
+ a bunch of sweets
- Sale 1 isn't traceable either so there's no evidence supporting 14.
- KS kits don't match in sale 3, so that sale was probably 11.
So you only have evidence to price this at 11.
ah cheers, il repost with new info at a correct range.