Suggestion: Terror-Watt Deep Cover Operator at 27 keys

Price Suggestion

~22 keys

terror-watt

36 votes up

4 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Thu, 27 Jan 22 00:26:28 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Mini Noice

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10356019726

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069707880#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238586510#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

Untrace but likely bought for 19 Keys and 42.77 ref based on when it was last seen in classifieds, https://gladiator.tf/listings/614ae9f510e97feabfb159b1, which is a quickbuy at the time of sale

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238586510#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066262562#!/compare/1632096000/1632268800

Flipped on same day for 20 keys, based on Near ID, buyer likely sold their C9 Backbiter's and bought the Deep Undercover Operator right after

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066262562#!/compare/1632355200/1632528000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043789098#!/compare/1632355200/1632528000

Then resold for 16 Keys + a Strange Crone's Dome ~ 18 Keys

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043789098#!/compare/1632787200/1632873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1632700800/1632873600

Sold alongside a DBD Hustler's + 10 keys for a Burning Flames Carouser's Capotain, might be better used there

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1632873600/1632960000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078915295#!/compare/1632873600/1632960000

Bulk for Chiroptera Venenata Tough Stuff Muffs

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10587759803

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1631404800/1631491200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384346057#!/compare/1631404800/1631491200

Untrace, Bought then resold back to bot a day later

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384346057#!/compare/1631491200/1631577600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1631491200/1631577600

Bulk/Untrace, resell back to same bot

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377473254#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

Untrace but likely bought for 19 Keys and 42.77 ref based on when it was last seen in classifieds, https://gladiator.tf/listings/614ae9f510e97feabfb159b1, which is a quickbuy at the time of sale

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377473254#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238586510#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

Untrace

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238586510#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357125435#!/compare/1632182400/1632268800

Flipped on same day for 20 keys, based on Near ID

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357125435#!/compare/1632268800/1632355200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199066831021#!/compare/1632268800/1632355200

Untrace

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199066831021#!/compare/1632268800/1632355200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240599376#!/compare/1632268800/1632355200

Untrace/Bulk

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240599376#!/compare/1632614400/1632787200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285505658#!/compare/1632700800/1632787200

Untrace

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285505658#!/compare/1632960000/1633046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174784715#!/compare/1632960000/1633046400

Might be 17 based on Near ID

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174784715#!/compare/1633564800/1633651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1633651200/1633737600

Untrace

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1636416000/1636502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238763554#!/compare/1636502400/1637193600

Untrace

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238763554#!/compare/1637193600/1638403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094399439#!/compare/1636934400/1637712000

Untrace, might be a gift?

Marketplace/Mannco sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30375;5;u57

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30375;5;u57;strange

https://mannco.store/item/440-terror-watt-unusual-deep-cover-operator

1 @ 49.99 on Nov 4, Keys at 1.87 at sale (https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6) so 49.99/1.87 = 26.73 ~ 27

Items with no sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/6300461084

https://backpack.tf/item/4866997854

https://backpack.tf/item/7728458062

https://backpack.tf/item/6273284140

https://backpack.tf/item/7956399358

https://backpack.tf/item/2350021821

https://backpack.tf/item/8296839516

https://backpack.tf/item/7957466276

https://backpack.tf/item/7955668810

https://backpack.tf/item/8580476142

https://backpack.tf/item/2449761906

https://backpack.tf/item/10211698539

https://backpack.tf/item/10431360193

https://backpack.tf/item/7955793501

https://backpack.tf/item/7955900312

https://backpack.tf/item/2594258124

https://backpack.tf/item/6497168046

So we got sales at 17, 18, 2 @ 20 (with 2 more that are likely at 20 as well), and a marketplace sale at 27, since the 27 is the only sale above buy orders, taking that

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ee50117066c4c28b8a93e8

https://backpack.tf/item/7957488820 - seller at 21

https://backpack.tf/item/7956111560 - seller at 22

27 is going to be high here and it looked like an outlier compared to the other sales to begin with as well

Looking at additional sales since then there seems to be only one sale that isn't higher than the current seller at 21 and also higher than buy orders, so should I resuggest at 21 flat? Also what happens to this suggestion that uses the deep cover operator's price https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61d7cfc066d2a42fb71588c7? It would be out of date now, so I can't resuggest right? Since it the new operator price would make it 500 - 660

New Sales:

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10356019726

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078915295#!/compare/1639612800/1639699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847680167#!/compare/1639440000/1639699200

Bulk for Knifestorm Bucket

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847680167#!/compare/1640563200/1640736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159568916#!/compare/1640649600/1640822400

Bulk for Shining Stag Snowmann

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/7957488820

Mannco Sale:

https://mannco.store/item/440-terror-watt-unusual-deep-cover-operator

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?site=mannco.store&at=2022-01-09&price=30

$30 / $1.60 = 18.75 keys ~ 19

Then withdrawn and dumped to bot

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7957324679

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198399098791#!/compare/1639440000/1642550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042860245#!/compare/1639440000/1640304000

Bulk and Untrace

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/7956111560

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185120642#!/compare/1635638400/1637798400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376885782#!/compare/1637712000/1637798400

Looks like 23

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376885782#!/compare/1639612800/1639699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025410447#!/compare/1639699200/1640217600

Looks like 7 Unusual Taunts + a key, they sold 5 of the taunts for 16 Keys + 148.77 ref ~ 18 + 1 = 19, the remaining two taunts have buy orders at 3 and 4 keys, so this seems high since that would total at least 26 keys

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025410447#!/compare/1640476800/1641945600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800

Bulk for Miami Nights Boxcar Bomber

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114848854#!/compare/1642982400/1643068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1642896000/1642982400

Looks like 21 pure which was slightly above full buyout (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ef0e4fad1c8689d9de17d6), probably got some ref back as well but rounds to 21 anyways

So new sales at 19, 21, 23 and 26+, since there is a seller at 21, and buyers at 20, the only sale that falls between that is the sale at 21

i think 21 flat should be fine for this.

for the muffs suggestion, i'm personally fine with a re-suggest on that since the sale was in-date at the time you created the original suggestion and there haven't been any new sales since then.