There is one more sale for 100 keys + Miami Nights Virtual Viewfinder + Tesla Coil Hong Kong Cone:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072439676#!/compare/1633564800/1633824000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161266740#!/compare/1633737600/1633824000

TC Cone is slighty outdated, but MN Viewfinder is 2 years old, technically both needs minis.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1640995200/1641081600

Bonzo cowl + 250 keys

Okay so:

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As mentioned in the comments, the sale from the other suggestion was definitely still valid and there was no reason to flat out ignore that here. The view suggestion as it is now is probably much too high (the sale used is likely an outlier given that it was unsold at 700 for 3 months), so that is likely lower than the comment above mine seems to imply (judging by the original suggestion presumably ~950)

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I have heard that 1500 resold for much less - according to the buyer it was 1200. 1500 is definitely not going to be valid here.

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On the bonzo cowl mentioned in the comment section:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002391950#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800 with a little over 200 in adds for a gbh KE and a TW modest

KE is in-date, modest has an estimate that wont be too far off here and will be around 350 ish so that sale will end up around 950 (very roughly)

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61966bbe095c035caa6cef82 modest suggestion here

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61901d942371c44c0a6e15eb GE cone would probably have gotten a range slightly lower than this, but quite close

So that sale will end up around ~950 (very roughly)

And this for the salty ~790 + taunt ~15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045343680#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

Taunt is probably slightly too low but the difference will be roundable here anyway and it would be slightly over 800

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Salty has a sale here, with 40 in adds for the 2 sbtwc (~350 + ~475) and the shield ~4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045343680#!/compare/1642118400/1642377600

See minis below, would be ~790

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metalmodest has a sale at 350 here

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61d635fe5abf0e451d3d0b4a

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The pithy is slightly outdated; sales on that:

Upgrade to the whirly, where it would fall slightly under current, were it to be used in reverse

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066501392#!/compare/1641427200/1641513600

Person that upgraded to the whirly paid much more for it so thats probably an outlier

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066501392#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400

involving a pumpkin pithy and a steaming view and 2 other hats; neither that nor the view seem to be stable atm (view fairly recently priced with a large range, currently sellers much higher). Not the most reliable sale here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800

GGjr cotton ~550 + 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412759781#!/compare/1640131200/1640217600

So ~550 approx

Nebula trans (~470) + some 15-20 in adds

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412759781#!/compare/1639785600/1639872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1639785600/1639872000

~490 approx

400 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016704189#!/compare/1639785600/1639872000

So thats approx 400-550 here (removing the whirly sale (low) and the sale before that (high, probably slightly over 600, but spells n shit (high))

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That would actually make the 1200 sale seem very high on the cowl (especially considering it resold here, although I guess this invalid suggestion may have had a bearing in that decision), which would make that ~800-950 ish. That would make the sale for the topper around 1125

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Then there's this for a moon dapper + 1100 it looks like

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1641945600/1642032000

The moon dapper sold here for a frostbite dapper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161410455#!/compare/1641427200/1641513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1641427200/1641513600

Keys there are for the phantom

Apparently the frostbite dapper sold for ~25+ that modest which sold for a logo antlers, which will probably end up ridiculously high

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1640563200/1640649600

Based on what those antlers sold for here that may even be above current sellers on that fb dapper, which would in turn make that even more than the guy himself is reselling this dapper for

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800

I could not really trace anything else on the moon dapper or the frostbite dapper (other sale on the moon dapper is a private BP, may not even be a sale, but rather a dupe that isnt registered properly, but either way based on what I see here that sale is going to end up an outlier here.

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In summary, the sales would be

~950

~1125

~1200

moon dapper sale which will likely be a high outlier (based on current sellers on this)

and the 1500 sale, which I had my doubts about in the beginning already, but seeing as it was dumped for less in pure that's not usable here.

Especially considering the clunky situation surrounding the miami view it is probably not the best idea to rely on that sale, and along with the fact that the moon dapper ends up a high outlier here, it is likely a solid plan to remove that sale as the low outlier counterpart.

That would then put the range here at 1125-1200. Note that the sbtwc metalmodest has a bunch of other sales that are either bulky, untraceable, incredibly outdated hats, or hats that are in-date but which would make it like 100 keys which is obviously not correct, so I took the 350 pure sale from the suggestion as a mini here which should be fine.

Closing here based on my earlier comment. Feel free to resuggest with the info provided.