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Burning Flames Head Hedge
New price: 53 - 62 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133845499#!/compare/1623196800/1632441600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1634860800/1634947200
Untrace.
Sale #2 (1 month) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111082769#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
Untrace.
Sale #3 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179856927#!/compare/1634428800/1634515200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1634428800/1634515200
Bulk.
Sale #4 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1634428800/1634515200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1634428800/1634515200
Untrace. Resold immediately to a bot, so quicksell.
Sale #5 (2 months]) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1634515200/1634601600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102407070#!/compare/1634515200/1634601600
Untrace. Bot to bot trade.
Sale #6 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102407070#!/compare/1634515200/1634601600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1634428800/1634515200
Untrace.
Sale #7 (1 month) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1637020800/1637107200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153830377#!/compare/1637020800/1637107200
Untrace.
Sale #8 (3 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1631836800/1631923200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174228707#!/compare/1631577600/1636761600
Untrace.
Sale #9 (1 month) = 53
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1637452800/1637539200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1637452800/1637539200
https://imgur.com/a/iT8E5m5
Sold for 53 keys.
Sale #10 (2 months) = 62
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1633392000/1633478400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990796098#!/compare/1633392000/1633478400
Sold for 62 keys.
Sale #11 (3 months) = 57
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105358204#!/compare/1632268800/1632614400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197624825#!/compare/1632614400/1632700800
Sold for 57 keys 17.44 ref. Rounding to 57. IDs match.
Sale #12 (3 months) = 60
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197624825#!/compare/1632700800/1632787200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096860013#!/compare/1632700800/1632787200
Sold for 60.
Sale #13 (2 months]) = 56
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096860013#!/compare/1633305600/1633478400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101711836#!/compare/1633392000/1633478400
Sold for 56 keys 23.22 ref. Rounding to 56.
Sale #14 (1 week) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165199912#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000
Untrace.
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/f828JKf
Sellers at 61 and 62.
Buyers start at ~45.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
53 x1
56 x1
57 x1
60 x1
62 x1
Even spread of sales. Nothing to exclude here.
Going with 53 - 62 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
https://backpack.tf/item/9899571621
tons of new untracable sales here. proposed range is still good.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834761548#!/compare/1640217600/1640563200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048008519#!/compare/1640476800/1640822400
Sold for 42 keys + 6 tracksmans touchdown (~5.5 keys) = 47.5 keys
Tempted to call this low, but we'll have to wait and see, if more sales come up
New sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066438008#!/compare/1642550400/1642723200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200688353#!/compare/1642636800/1642896000
Sold for a ge screamin eagle (65) + 6 keys = 71. There is just one other usable sale on the screamin eagle, which is about 65 in mixed https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600
Considering this one high, but supports the high end and justifies excluding the sale at 47.5 from the other comment.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111082769#!/compare/1642896000/1642982400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072160624#!/compare/1642550400/1642982400
Sold for 58 keys.
New overview:
47.5 x153 x1
56 x1
57 x1
58 x1
60 x1
62 x1
71 x1Almost a 1 month unsold at 58 https://gyazo.com/cc741914465320049de56dd4d4c2e7e7 https://backpack.tf/item/7170528956
I'd be happy with 53 - 58 here :D
There's been a lot of competition, that i didn't rly react to, so it's no surprise that mine hasn't sold in a month. Not sure if that's reason enough to exclude 2 full pure sales, without more excluded on the low end.
Not trying to up the price, cuz i own one, but that's just my honest opinion here.
New sale at 71 too https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30978;5;u13 which arguably supports a higher price.
Even with this, I would've personally excluded 62, but a resuggest isn't necessary for such a small change. I guess this is okay :D