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The money aint the answer
Histories with in-date sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/973552288 -> 1 sale
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199187383421#!/compare/1633132800/1633219200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108359693#!/compare/1633046400/1633219200
Sold for 18k pure
Buyout 18k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/6158cb83c10e34b9c389a16d
https://backpack.tf/item/254012264 -> 1 sale
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1637539200/1637625600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448747254#!/compare/1637452800/1637712000
Nothing seems to match here - buyer possibly sold aussie to someone to pay for it but couldnt trace any keys matching this
Buyout 19k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/619c1a0f7664fa30700f358b
https://backpack.tf/item/252500196 -> few sales
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154577774#!/compare/1632355200/1632787200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1632268800/1632355200
QS'd to Thomas or via scm
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1632873600/1632960000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198397407059#!/compare/1632873600/1632960000
Nothing on seller side seems to match, buyer has a head prize matching and thats it - possibly indicating overpay here (as he received ref too)
Buyout 15k 30 ref -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/6154ba1bde5b718223f81180
Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/185;5;u8
Dec 12th @ 32.99 / 1.83 = 18.02k (~18k)
https://backpack.tf/item/538229667 - No buyout
Total sales @
18k (x2)
15k 30 ref? (oldest sale - 30th sep)
Seller at 20k
Buyers up to 12.51k
Got two traceable sales at 18k here and both more heavily in-date than the 15k 30 ref sale
Going to go 18k flat