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History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/6643473780
15 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077625769#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799242120#!/compare/1635206400/1637107200
History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/8459812195
Dumped to Quicksell.Store:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198965070085#!/compare/1633392000/1633737600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1633305600/1633392000
18 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1635465600/1635552000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297177016#!/compare/1635379200/1635638400
taking 15-18 keys here
-Buyer for sale $3 bought something else alongside the taunt. Either way, that sale was not 18: https://gladiator.tf/listings/617b45dd5da7daf662c2fd68 (thanks Shubble Skeek)
EDIT: looks like they bought this pan too: https://backpack.tf/item/4484506585
https://gladiator.tf/listings/617b4618cfe4e37662f0acd1 keys were ~57 ref
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Specialized%20Killstreak%20Frying%20Pan&at=2021-10-29T09:22:46.799Z
Pan was selling for ~1 key 28 at the time of the sale, which is 1.49 keys
The 16 key 30 ref buyout for the Luxury Lounge equals to 16.52 keys.
So with this, the sale is actually 18-1.49=16.51 keys, which rounds to 17
I'll resuggest at 15-17 keys