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Mini for Burning Flames Hong Kong Cone
https://backpack.tf/item/10501690505
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1636329600/1636502400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092570830#!/compare/1636416000/1636502400
Bulk for Burning HKC
https://backpack.tf/item/9108901091
https://mannco.store/item/440-scorching-flames-unusual-cotton-head
Nothing
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1634688000/1634774400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1634688000/1634774400
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6170e3cefe1d8f4bca4e801c
Unclear, could be 212 keys given seller's end, buyers were at 177+ at this point (but this seems high now)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1635033600/1635120000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067546448#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://gladiator.tf/listings/61760e6d0bf6fe69d1dd2225
195 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067546448#!/compare/1636329600/1636416000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1636329600/1636416000
222 keys 34 ref for the Cotton + Aussie Wrench (~38 https://gladiator.tf/listings/6189c2dce1c861e3d9b08c33), making this sale ~184 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199056699331#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000
https://gladiator.tf/listings/619069ed9c20de4e27da36a9
Buyer sold a Golden Pan that day, B/O at 212 keys, which seems to potentially match sale 2
Sales:
184, 195, 212? x2
Classies: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d43143c0015d17870cdea3
New seller at 199. Buyers are much lower than before at 125-133, which may indicate a lower range is more appropriate.
Excluding 212, going with conservative raise to 185-195.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083482001#!/compare/1641513600/1641859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201973980#!/compare/1641772800/1641945600
thanks, looks like this sale is:
DBD rotation (83, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61b7fcf40a3aa811cf53baf1) + Max (28.5) + Corona (43.5) + Strange Pro KS Pan (~44-45) + C.A.P.P.E.R (~6-7) + 3 keys = ~210 keys
Caps at 199 key B/O: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d77f5cbbf9b7edf4bb5037
Other new sale doesn't look like anything, or bulk:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199056699331#!/compare/1642723200/1642809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116801784#!/compare/1642723200/1642809600
Given the 199 seller sold, and especially since the sale was actually close to 210 keys in value, it calls into question whether the two sales at 212 should still be excluded. 185-210 could work.
your welcome, thanks for your explanation!
Further trade for same item at 225 keys last Wednesday Feb 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199023459084#!/compare/1644364800/1644537600
Thanks for reporting your sale :D
Looks like 185 may be a bit low now given buyers now, the initial sales from 184-212 listed in OP are outdated now - the sale at 199 (~200) is in-date. So 200-225 could work potentially.
your sale at 184 appears to actually be for 217 keys + 39 ref rather than 222 keys + 34 ref looking at the first compare therefore 180 - 225 will work here given the new sale provided above