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https://backpack.tf/item/10805581541
Sale: 150 keys + Frantic Spooker Calamitous Cauldron (35 keys)
https://gyazo.com/a8e55db22ccf3690b794f59ca2f255f8
150 + 35 = 185k (Credits to Barracuda)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975367685#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175725242#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400
Bulk for Eyes of Molten Mister Bones, use there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175725242#!/compare/1637020800/1637107200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1637020800/1637107200
72 keys match, incomplete, likely quickbuy
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049597007#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200
Nebula HFHA + x keys
Spelled GL bought for 4 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200
https://backpack.tf/item/2439463278
Strange Festive Sapper for ~5 keys: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61a6c939d6be1bd2bc093868
https://backpack.tf/item/2178055727
Strange Festive Wrangler: for ~3.5 keys: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61a7b6e8d1eba37db873edf4
https://backpack.tf/item/2196288783
Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Jag for ~3 keys: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61a79ac8154114d2a4f930b4
https://backpack.tf/item/454977369
Given the 100 keys leaving buyer's compare, this would suggest the amount of keys added for the Spirit is 100 - 15.5 = ~85 keys
Nebula HFHA (~128) + 85 = 213
Sale caps at 200 key B/O: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61a83274d78daa96b585e956
https://backpack.tf/item/10877583360
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30807;5;u201
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-12-27&site=marketplace.tf
$249.99/1.82=137.36, rounds to 135 keys.
Sales:
135, 185, 200
135-200.
Thanks for making this price suggestion! I've been trying to compile a price suggestion for this hat since I am one of two owners, and would like to quickly note what I have gathered:
-I bought my P. Moon Bombing Past for the Nebula HFHA + 80 keys pure. Good job estimating the 85 pure for the trade, though.
-The quick sale from Quackston was for 95 or 97 pure (conflicting answers from buyer and seller, believe it was 95 pure in the screenshot of the trade though).
-Bulk for the Eyes of Molten Mister Bones was 200 pure + the Bombing Past + 5th Dim. Wing Mann (~100 keys).
-Barracuda's sale and the MP.TF sale are exactly as listed here.
The range you have suggested for the hat is great, but I thought it would be helpful for me to note what I gathered about the sales. If you would like screenshots for any of these trades, feel free to let me know and I can go back and get them again!
Thanks for confirming <3