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Searing Hong Kong, Noice
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10613084413
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1639180800/1639440000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1639353600/1639440000
Looks like 90 pure which were used to buy something else immediately
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045638082#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400
121 pure ~ 120
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045638082#!/compare/1639699200/1639958400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280643788#!/compare/1639353600/1639958400
Looks like added alongside a Disco Beat Down Pirate Bandana for the Frostbite Tossle Cap + keys and the bandana wasn't registered before next sale, better used there
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280643788#!/compare/1639958400/1640044800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360687684#!/compare/1639958400/1640044800
1:1 with the Strange Ancient Eldritch Prehistoric Pullover, using there
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360687684#!/compare/1640217600/1640304000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346254293#!/compare/1640131200/1640217600
Bulk for the Burning Boxcar
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346254293#!/compare/1640131200/1640217600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1639958400/1640217600
Bulk for the Peace Sign Legendary Lid
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002391950#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000
Looks like 126 pure ~ 125
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002391950#!/compare/1641772800/1641859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177146103#!/compare/1641600000/1641859200
91 Keys show up in compare, but it looks like 36 keys were used on the gibus sale (https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054855474#!/compare/1641772800/1641859200) so 91 + 36 = 127 ~ 125
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10497649985
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1635897600/1636070400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040224639#!/compare/1636070400/1636156800
Looks like added a Magical Spirit Pool Party for a Power Surge Hong Kong Cone + Subatomic Translator, might be better used on the Power Surge Cone
Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7956124063
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061765761#!/compare/1639440000/1642377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1642118400/1642377600
Looks like 118 Keys + 37.77 ref ~ 119, lower than current buy orders, also a dump to a trade site bot
Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/7479397575
Sale 11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164353042#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199178516181#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800
Looks like bot dump
Going 125 flat
Neither the Boxcar sale nor the Legendary sale are bulk sales. A bulk sale is when the item you're pricing is worth ~50% or less of the trade's value.
In the 126 sale, the Brotherhood of Arms was also involved, so that sale won't be usable unless you can prove 126 Keys were specifically for the HKC.
The Boxcar and Legendary sales will need to be looked into in order to figure out what an accurate range would be for this.
The BoA sale was valued at 125 anyways so that can be excluded since there are other sales at 125. For the legendary lid the Bubbling Fukaamigasa has no usable sales so gonna exclude that sale still.
For the Boxcar, got an open suggestion at 130, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61f88a467f5048025c43cc19, gonna do the pool party tmrw, though I suspect it will land around 14 ish so it would probably be a 115 sale which is below buy orders, this should be good then right? No changes needed
After looking at the pool party it has buy orders at 13 and there are sellers at 15 (https://i.imgur.com/uuY2uws.png)
There is also marketplace sale for 14:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30570;5;u3003
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-12-10&price=24.99
$24.99 / $1.83 = 13.66 keys ~ 14
So whatever valuation atm would land between 13 and 15 meaning Sale 5 would probably be counted as a 115 - 117 sale which is below buy orders for the HKC anyways, so the only usable sales are the 125 sales