Suggestion: Phantom Crown Spooky Head-Bouncers at 15–20 keys

looks like spooky + ~3k for Delightful Star Taunt: The Schadenfreude (~20k bo), suggests this sale is ~17k, snapshot suggests ~19k (probably better value since taunt is undervalued)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274457577#!/compare/1638144000/1638230400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993686702#!/compare/1638144000/1638230400

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993686702#!/compare/1639094400/1639180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200111258#!/compare/1638230400/1639094400

bunch of stuff matches, incomplete

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200111258#!/compare/1640390400/1640563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111658162#!/compare/1640390400/1640563200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111658162#!/compare/1640908800/1640995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021495705#!/compare/1639526400/1640995200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-01-01T21:00:00.317Z

untrace, snapshot suggests 15k

https://backpack.tf/item/10862524447

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091445726#!/compare/1635897600/1636070400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202358549#!/compare/1635984000/1636070400

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers

SCM? if so, Nov 4 at ~18k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202358549#!/compare/1636070400/1636243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1636070400/1636156800

bulk for KaW HKC

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998850076#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/10859125304

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047249141#!/compare/1635379200/1639526400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b93b2f2d5dd8b1f7661c16

14k likely

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047249141#!/compare/1639785600/1641340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118656554#!/compare/1623542400/1640736000

untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/10825298147

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361850322#!/compare/1636156800/1636934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400

untrace

QS.store movement

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1639612800/1639699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202149663#!/compare/1638662400/1639699200

Steaming Shooter's Sola Topi (~9.3 bo) + Screaming Tiger Taunt: Skullcracker (~6.3 bo)

for

Spooky + ~0.8k in ref,

sale is 9.3+6.3-0.8=~15k

https://backpack.tf/item/10806351769

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047706237#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256970269#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

untrace, possible bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256970269#!/compare/1639785600/1639872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199225560011#!/compare/1641427200/1643414400

untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/10797109269

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319562372#!/compare/1636675200/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1636588800/1636675200

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066617702#!/compare/1635638400/1636761600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-11-13T21:00:00.317Z

untrace, snapshot suggests 19k

https://backpack.tf/item/10790061331

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008883658#!/compare/1641513600/1642032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083505031#!/compare/1641513600/1642636800

Tempered Thorns Hat Outta Hell matches, incomplete or very high

https://backpack.tf/item/10789624852

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028943046#!/compare/1638921600/1639180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119613895#!/compare/1639267200/1639958400

untrace SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119613895#!/compare/1640044800/1641254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193655639#!/compare/1640476800/1640908800

untrace SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193655639#!/compare/1641513600/1641686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093438754#!/compare/1641600000/1641686400

14k matches

https://backpack.tf/item/10782276788

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316907092#!/compare/1637884800/1638403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346054736#!/compare/1637971200/1638057600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346054736#!/compare/1642291200/1642377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1642204800/1642291200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-01-16T21:00:00.317Z

15 ref matches, snapshot suggests 14k 15ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10781496633

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994660517#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841031804#!/compare/1640908800/1641254400

17k

https://backpack.tf/item/10781494178

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847#!/compare/1636588800/1636761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177896432#!/compare/1636416000/1637107200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/618c703bbe9c43b933e71757

25k received matches B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/10764917520

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123441069#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

seems to be 23k

https://backpack.tf/item/10758657372

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127652476#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-11-13T21:00:00.317Z

19k matches B/O

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1637884800/1637971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1637884800/1637971200

bulk

https://backpack.tf/item/10757973842

on MP

https://backpack.tf/item/10745458178

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043954484#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000

added 5k for Amethyst Winds Taunt: Zoomin' Broom, use there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043954484#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158179076#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

13k matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158179076#!/compare/1638748800/1639008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-12-09T21:00:00.317Z

looks like dump for ~11k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1639872000/1639958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238063802#!/compare/1639526400/1640131200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-12-20T21:00:00.317Z

untrace, snapshot suggests 15k

https://backpack.tf/item/10744929599

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095345433#!/compare/1640217600/1641081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205353169#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

~13k matches

Sales:

11?

13

13

13?

14

14

14

~~14?~~

15?

16?

18?

17-19?

19?

23

25

25

27

Classies: https://gladiator.tf/listings/61f8586f092e18a6add8bdc0

Buyers ~15k+, sellers 16-25k.

Since 25 and 20 have been unsold for a few weeks, and 27 is only based on MP sales, excluding those. Excluding everything below 15 given buyers, going to exclude 22+ as well to balance out the range. All gladiator sales from the past three months being 20 or below also supports this range:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-01-31T22:14:33.008Z

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-12-31T22:14:33.008Z

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Phantom%20Crown%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2021-11-31T22:14:33.008Z

Taking 15-20.