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https://backpack.tf/item/7320428284
Gambling presumably, followed by a bulk sale (with potential scammer)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303886984#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000
https://mannco.store/item/440-brain-drain-unusual-patriot-peak
Seller at $280, ~170 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7322029000
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30743;5;u111
$300 / $1.78 = 168.54 keys
Rounding to 170 flat.
The one on Mannco sold for ~170 as well then it was gifted.