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Burning Flames Federal Casemaker
New price: 200 - 280 keys
Proof:
-----------------------------
History #1: https://backpack.tf/item/7956449790
Sale #1 (3 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308490265#!/compare/1638662400/1639008000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142678358#!/compare/1638662400/1638835200
Hard to trace. Probably around 200 keys.
Sale #2 (2 months) = 210
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142678358#!/compare/1641340800/1641513600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971951709#!/compare/1641254400/1641513600
Sold for 210 keys.
-----------------------------
History #2: https://backpack.tf/item/9240479474
Sale #3 (3 months) = 205
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086416#!/compare/1637625600/1637712000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161420741#!/compare/1637625600/1637712000
Sold for 205 keys.
Sale #4 (3 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161420741#!/compare/1637712000/1637798400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1637712000/1637798400
Untrace.
Sale #5 (3 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104147036#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800
Sold with 11 keys and a ominous stare sterling for a burning marauder. Clearly low.
Sale #6 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104147036#!/compare/1640908800/1641168000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400
Sold for a sunbeams mohawk + a robotactive robo cock + a scorching softcap. No mini on the softcap, but this would've been above 250 for sure.
-----------------------------
History #3: https://backpack.tf/item/9364886609
Sale #7 (fresh) = 280
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200
Sold for 280 keys.
-----------------------------
History #4: https://backpack.tf/item/11066126868
Sale #8 (2 months) = 202
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028508165#!/compare/1640304000/1640476800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400
Sold for 202 keys.
Sale #9 (2 months) = 225
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400
Sold for 225 keys.
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/JHxglh8
Seller (me) at 350, buyers at 225, 220, rest starts at 209.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
202 x1
205 x1
210 x1
225 x1
280 x1
210 and lower including Sale #1 were probably not quicksells to buyers, because buyers at 200+ have started to show up in mid january ( https://gladiator.tf/listings/61df74fabc7ac82fbb664345 ) well after these sales happened.
With that in mind these sales will have to be included.
280 should be included, because it's the newest sale, sale #6 supports it and the range would otherwise be below buyers.
Rounding 202 to 200.
Going with 200 - 280 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
One unsold on stn for ~270 keys, shouldn't 280 be an outlier?
https://backpack.tf/item/11359172488, https://stntrading.eu/buy/unusuals/17
Did not see that unsold.
Also with the buyers lower than they were, when originally posted, it does now look like 280 is an outlier.
Closing this for now.