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~237.5 keys
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Unusual Federal Casemaker Burning Flames
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Burning Flames Federal Casemaker


New price: 200 - 280 keys


Proof:

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History #1: https://backpack.tf/item/7956449790


Sale #1 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308490265#!/compare/1638662400/1639008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142678358#!/compare/1638662400/1638835200

Hard to trace. Probably around 200 keys.


Sale #2 (2 months) = 210

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142678358#!/compare/1641340800/1641513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971951709#!/compare/1641254400/1641513600

Sold for 210 keys.


-----------------------------


History #2: https://backpack.tf/item/9240479474


Sale #3 (3 months) = 205

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086416#!/compare/1637625600/1637712000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161420741#!/compare/1637625600/1637712000

Sold for 205 keys.


Sale #4 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161420741#!/compare/1637712000/1637798400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1637712000/1637798400

Untrace.


Sale #5 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104147036#!/compare/1638230400/1638316800

Sold with 11 keys and a ominous stare sterling for a burning marauder. Clearly low.


Sale #6 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104147036#!/compare/1640908800/1641168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400

Sold for a sunbeams mohawk + a robotactive robo cock + a scorching softcap. No mini on the softcap, but this would've been above 250 for sure.


-----------------------------


History #3: https://backpack.tf/item/9364886609


Sale #7 (fresh) = 280

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200

Sold for 280 keys.


-----------------------------


History #4: https://backpack.tf/item/11066126868


Sale #8 (2 months) = 202

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028508165#!/compare/1640304000/1640476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

Sold for 202 keys.


Sale #9 (2 months) = 225

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127773728#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

Sold for 225 keys.


Classies:

https://imgur.com/a/JHxglh8

Seller (me) at 350, buyers at 225, 220, rest starts at 209.

_________________________________________________________


SUMMARY


Sales:

202 x1

205 x1

210 x1

225 x1

280 x1


210 and lower including Sale #1 were probably not quicksells to buyers, because buyers at 200+ have started to show up in mid january ( https://gladiator.tf/listings/61df74fabc7ac82fbb664345 ) well after these sales happened.

With that in mind these sales will have to be included.

280 should be included, because it's the newest sale, sale #6 supports it and the range would otherwise be below buyers.

Rounding 202 to 200.


Going with 200 - 280 keys.


Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.