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History: https://backpack.tf/item/11236600459
Likely buy order dump:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028380013#!/compare/1643414400/1644019200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263236870#!/compare/1643932800/1644019200
22 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263236870#!/compare/1645142400/1645228800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963262796#!/compare/1645142400/1645228800
I bought it for 10 keys, and this sale still being in-date. It isn't countered, but if you'll use it, range will be too wide. As I remember, I asked mods about that about a month ago. I think will be better to wait when 10 keys sale will become outdated.
waiting for 10 to become outdated would still be inaccurate since it would have still been valid when the 22 key sale happened. the best option would be to wait for a third sale to determine the outlier.