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Finally working on this.
History: https://backpack.tf/item/3127163536
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1644537600/1644624000
Sold for Chiroptera Venenata Hot Dogger + 25 keys
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6257cb1eea80851aac53a758
Sugg for the Dogger (450-565 keys. averaging mean = 497.5 keys)
rounding off to 500 keys. 500 + 25 = 525 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135471163#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600
Used as mini for Hellfire Armored Authority
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800
Sold for 312 keys
rounding off to 310 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117796848#!/compare/1641254400/1641513600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1641340800/1641513600
Sold for Stare From Beyond Neckwear Headwear with Rotten Orange Footprints and 190 keys
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/62000606e0ae1935e05c6266
Sugg for the Neckwear.
350 + 190 = 540 keys
sales:
310
540
525
just one new sale. taking 310-540 keys
The Dogger was updated to 480 Keys, so 525 should be 505 Keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150982973#!/compare/1651104000/1651190400 - The person who paid 505 dumped this for much less
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273936811#!/compare/1646611200/1646697600 - The Hat Outta Hell added 139 Keys for a DBD Phantom
https://mannco.store/item/440-scorching-flames-unusual-hat-outta-hell - Another Hat Outta Hell sale for $500 (315 Keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1651881600/1651968000 - The Tyrannus added 70 Keys for a CV Escorter
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074895734#!/compare/1652572800/1652745600 - The Escorter added ~12 for an Amaranthine Bolted Bicorne
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1649894400/1649980800 - The Bicorne sold for 160 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132403284#!/compare/1650067200/1650153600 - The Bicorne also sold for 210 Keys
Additionally, the person who paid 540 dumped this for 310 Keys, so with that in mind, both high sales should be excluded.
The Amaranthine Glengarry has no sales, so 312 Keys flat will work (don't round pure sales).
While the buy orders are currently higher than 310, they are new, so that won't matter.