Credits to Blaze

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162695775#!/compare/1643500800/1643587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1643414400/1643587200 - bulk

https://mannco.store/item/440-smoking-unusual-masters-yellow-belt

https://backpack.tf/item/1560698707 - sold for $215 (135 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072441047#!/compare/1644537600/1644624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1644537600/1644624000 - bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1643846400/1644019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072441047#!/compare/1643932800/1644019200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fbb5b8ff892041ffc2ebe8

Orbiting Fire Brainiac Hairpiece (145, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6244b0b37cfeed553b312903) + 10 keys, caps at 130 key B/O

New sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/110;5;u35 - sold for $259.99 (149 keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Smoking%20Master%27s%20Yellow%20Belt&at=2022-04-18T09:45:06.986Z

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132157247#!/compare/1649116800/1649203200 - likely sold for 119 keys

Cleans

https://backpack.tf/item/1560698707

https://backpack.tf/item/991524889 - may be this one

https://mannco.store/item/440-smoking-unusual-masters-yellow-belt

(slightly outdated) $150/1.72=~87k

$115/1.72=~67k

(new one listed at $197.99)

https://backpack.tf/item/1008106707

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055084012#!/compare/1638835200/1639008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1638835200/1638921600

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e21234f25aa92dabaed937

untrace, was most likely ~72k buy order before selling for ~94k and being dumped again at ~72k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1642118400/1642204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069707880#!/compare/1642118400/1642204800

dump mentioned above

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069707880#!/compare/1642204800/1642291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154700747#!/compare/1642118400/1642204800

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e33fc020af2d2b7f84351c

83k 7ref, matches B/O

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/110;5;u35 - listed at $299.99

https://backpack.tf/item/991524889

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1635465600/1635552000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284240674#!/compare/1635465600/1635638400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/617dcfebfc693a071b70378c

scorching brass bucket qs same day for ~80 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Scorching%20Flames%20Brass%20Bucket&at=2021-10-31T20:37:18.639Z https://backpack.tf/item/6459390947, supports that this sold for 85k B/O

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284240674#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135268403#!/compare/1636156800/1636243200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6185baf6a6a68d78d21c4dab - no listing

looks like 69k + ~4k in metal and sweets = 73k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135268403#!/compare/1636329600/1636502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013326889#!/compare/1636329600/1636502400

looks like Eyes of Molten Beanie The All-Gnawing + TS footprints hiding hood, doesn't really seem to be worth using here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013326889#!/compare/1636761600/1638748800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008032268#!/compare/1636848000/1637798400

movement

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008032268#!/compare/1637884800/1639267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1638835200/1638921600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1640304000/1640563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043911886#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800

85k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043911886#!/compare/1641427200/1641600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

Belt + Specialized Killstreak Festive Stickybomb Launcher + Specialized Killstreak Festive Sniper Rifle matches on Oliver, 74k + p. fetti crown (~14 bo) on seller's side, makes this look like a sale for ~88-5=83k (pretty unclear tho, maybe burning robin was also dumped at the same time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224899376#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d76f425dbd91ed6acc9f0d

untrace, this is basically speculation, but the 86k received on bot's side makes this look like a 86k sale, was moved to bot after

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098725833#!/compare/1641772800/1642032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200221307#!/compare/1641427200/1641859200

untrace

more gambling

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1642809600/1642896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1642809600/1642896000

looks bulky

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1642896000/1643068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1642982400/1643068800

more bulk

Sales:

67 (72 dumps) 73 83 83? 85? 85 119 130 135 149

https://gladiator.tf/listings/625d50e5307d783f22f2e43c

Overall market seems to be higher now with buyers at ~86, several unsolds at 150

Given higher buyers, inclined to exclude everything below 85 (including 85 to compensate for these lower sales). Excluding 149 given 150 unsolds and the lower sales being excluded, it was also a marketplace sale.

Taking 85-135 keys.