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~1250 keys
arcana
Unusual Screamin' Eagle Arcana
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Nice hat, 1 of 1 also


Taking sales from last 3 months:


Sale #1:

750

Arcana Voodoo Juju + Strange Professional Killstreak Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher (Factory New) + Ominous Night Zoomin Broom + Searing Plasma Valley Forge

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043501673#!/compare/1642636800/1642723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1642636800/1642723200

Voodoo juju was traded for burning hkc(355) + Unusual scattergun(180) = 535

Mini for rocket launcher: sold for 200$ and 250$ on mann.co store =~ 225/1.6 ~=140 keys


535 + 140 + buy orders for Zoomin Broom + Valley Forge cap the buyout of 750:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e9f0e81e8a4524de480c70 Buyout


Sale #2:

Dumped for 600$, sad (~375 keys), excluding

https://mannco.store/item/440-arcana-unusual-screamin-eagle

Also excluding the sale above because buyer resold the hat for much less


Sale #3:

1:1 for pmoon rotation (better use there?)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1645142400/1645228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1645142400/1645228800


Sale #4:

Untraced, most likely bulk deal, with cash included

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086416#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200


Sale #5 (bulk):

800 pure for Arcana Screamin Eagle + Misty Skull warhood.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086416#!/compare/1645228800/1645315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1644796800/1645315200


Sale #6(Last sale):

700 pure + Strange Ominous Stare Bazaar Bauble(~66) + Electrostatic Coupe Disaster(~13) + N&B KE (spelled) (~28) ~= 807

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1650240000/1650326400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017636549#!/compare/1650240000/1650326400


Mini for Bazaar Bauble:

Pmoon Head bouncers + 10 keys (86 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178426383#!/compare/1649376000/1649462400

I resold it for 40 keys + spelled unique ke(which resold for 5 keys) = 45 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1650326400/1650412800

(86 + 45) / 2 ~= 66 keys


Mini for spelled Violet footprints KE:

Sold for 28 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1650326400/1650412800


Taking Coupe disaster at buy orders, for which I dumped it. 700 + 66 + 13 + 28 = 807, which caps my BO at 800:


Lmk if I you think I should include the sale #5 into range, although me and previous owner considered it as a quicksell, because selling good looking soldier arcana for 600 woudn't take long (also I've been offered 600-650 pure from quickbuyers several times).

    I can understand not using sale #5, but is there any reason you're not using sale #1? A range of 750-800 is perfectly fine here.

      Well, as far as I know, if the person bought a hat and resold it for much less, he's considered as "inconsistent", and his sales shouldnt be included into the suggestion. The suggestion I heard it from: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fff466db48e17564e6c6933

        Sales like this need to be taken on a case-by-case approach as this isn't a rule that always applies. These kinds of sales can be used within certain contexts, one of them being if the hat in question needs a lower range as established by other not-so-valid sales. And just by looking at the other sales, this seems to be the case:

        -Sale 2: invalid quicksell for 375 keys, below current.

        -Sale 4: bulk bp cashout, very likely to be below current

        -Sale 5: Bulk sale for 800 Keys including a Misty Skull Warhood. From taking a quick look at the warhood, I found a single sale for 244 Keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236425506#!/compare/1645920000/1646006400

        That would put this sale at ~550 Keys(a more proper mini for the warhood would still be necessary), but this sale would obviously be below current.


        Since pretty much every single sale(except maybe the rotation? though i couldn't find a good sale for that) seems to be against the idea that this should be 800 flat, there needs to be some sort of range, and that's where sale #1 comes in. If we were to place this suggestion in a bubble, there would be four options:

        -Use sale #1 despite it being a resale for a conservative range (750-800)

        -Use sale #5 for a wide range (~550-800)

        -Use sale #3 to somehow give validity to the current suggested price(???-800, or 800-???)

        -Leave unpriced since sales are all over the place.


        With all of this in context, sale #1 needs to be used as it's the closest sale that could be considered as a "valid" sale, at least compared to the rest. If we were to still consider it unusable, that would mean this would need to be left outdated, as everything else in this suggestion points to 800 flat being too high.


        Most of the time you will end up excluding these "buyer sells for less" sales, but you do still need to take them into consideration when making a suggestion instead of immediately discarding them. And for the context of this hat, I still think a range of 750-800 is reasonable.

          Alright, I'll remake it