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https://backpack.tf/item/10759056489
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067157474#!/compare/1646870400/1647216000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066311459#!/compare/1647129600/1647216000
https://gladiator.tf/listings/625212b8dbfae7abb4f0cb2b
Looks like 40 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/17291;15;u703;w4;pk291
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?site=marketplace.tf&at=2022-04-29&price=200
$200 / $1.77 = 112.99 keys
40 was much closer to buy orders at the time, and are more in line with buy orders now: https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=War+Paint&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=703&killstreak_tier=0&texture_name=Broken+Bones
So taking ~115 flat here.
it would probably be best to leave this unpriced for now given the 2 sales are quite discrepant from one another. nothing is really countering 40 either given buy-orders were only at 32 and still are.