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May the Fourth be with you, Jedi.
(Technically) a Mini for the Blizzardy Storm Balooniphones, even if that sale is not going to be used there but for the sake of completion, let's go for it.
Sale 1 - February 28th
Sold for a Strange Pro KS Australium Scattergun and 20 keys.
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198413561667#!/compare/1645833600/1646006400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125148896#!/compare/1645747200/1646006400
Current Market on the Australium Pro KS Scattergun: https://imgur.com/a/YQ0vNH9
Highest regular buyer at 69.07 keys, lowest seller at 70.87 keys, averaging out to 69.97 keys or rounded to 70 keys.
Gladiator.tf snapshots showing the latest point at which a buyout could be detected: https://gladiator.tf/listings/621c3c2bcc064ff37db32d5e
Buyout was at 110 keys, doesn't cap.
Final sale value: 70 keys (Aussie) + 20 keys (Pure) = 90 keys
Sale 2 - April 6
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Balooniphones
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041850120#!/compare/1649116800/1649203200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1649116800/1649203200
Buyout Listings:
Last listed buyout of Seller (150 keys): https://gladiator.tf/listings/624e1b51502bc17dc779424b
First listed buyout of Buyer (120 keys): https://gladiator.tf/listings/624e252a9e8110b0045e05b3
No further traces of any adds were found. Since the buy orders alone on the Balooniphones exceed 140 (https://imgur.com/a/r7R1XNA) we can safely call this an outlier.
Current market:
https://imgur.com/a/rsYsJd1
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30753;5;u200
Backpack.tf Seller at 120 keys (current owner has had it for 2 months)
Crosslisting at 275.00$ or 154.49 keys at May 4th's 1.78$ rate: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
(Current owner has had it on Marketplace since November 2021)
Another Marketplace.tf only seller at 275.00$ or the aforementioned 154.49 keys (On Mp.tf since October 2021)
Buyers extend up to a single buyer at 75 keys and a decent amount of buyers at 70 keys.
Sales
90
Blizz Balooniphones 1 for 1
Final words
Fairly straightforward, a single sale at 90 can be used here to give ourselves a first estimate.
While there was a higher sale with the Blizz Balooniphones, it's a straight outlier on both sides due to this item's value being less than the Balooniphone's buy orders and vice versa, the buy orders exceeding the Om. St. AHtKF's current sell orders by a decent amount.
As such, I propose a price of 90 keys.
Feel free to leave any feedback or criticism and point out any mistakes in the suggestion in an orderly matter and I'll address your concerns quickly.
Until then, peace out.