Suggestion: Spellbound Virtual Viewfinder at 11935–16410 keys

Price Suggestion

~13825 keys

spellbnd

21 votes up

7 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 08 May 22 00:09:20 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

I'm totally stealing this. I did no work for this lmao

Sale 1: https://mannco.store/item/440-spellbound-unusual-virtual-viewfinder - 15000/1.59 = ~9434

https://backpack.tf/item/4308296437

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1648512000/1648684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054966400#!/compare/1648598400/1648684800

2500 pure (2 different installments)

9434 + 2500 = 11934

11935 flat. (Information from MasterThroneCrimson's original suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6245b508d1f66948f671c02b )

Sale 2: (Information from KFC, and Jezzus; comments from MasterThroneCrimson's original suggestion)

resold for 2 Kato Capsules

https://i.imgur.com/bIjoaAn.png

Only recent sales on both katos are only on buff

Kato Challengers: https://buff.163.com/goods/34587?from=market#tab=history ¥ 95998 2022-02-15 https://i.imgur.com/sQfns5Q.png $15,359.68

Kato Legends: https://buff.163.com/goods/34588?from=market#tab=history ¥ 63000 2022-04-08 https://i.imgur.com/9wiYmqR.png $10,080

$15,359.68 + 10,080 = 25,439.68 / 1.55 (current key price) = 16,412 keys, rounding to 16,410

It's a horrendous range, yes, however looking at the Burning flames Noh Mercy: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d845051d3817225645fc3e6

A gargantuan range was allowed because:

"Such ranges are a last resort - normally, when the sales are this discrepant, the hat is left outdated until it resells.

The situation here is tricky since the hat was already updated based on one of the two sales. What would support updating rather than leaving outdated as a whole is that both sales were above its old value, indicating an update is actually called for. With no clear indicator which of the sales would be the outlier, the range offers a wonky solution for the issue that the sales are actually way discrepant, but a solution nonetheless." -FoamyTheFearsome

Granted, that was 2 years ago? But hey, I'll give it a shot.

Thoughts? Comments?

It's simpler and more accurate just to divide by the ¥ price of keys on buff on the specific dates in question.

You'd have to figure out how to get the historical key prices, but just using today's buff key price of ¥ 10.2 as an example, you can see that it comes out to a different number than you arrived at.

¥ 95998 / ¥ 10.2 = 9412 keys

¥ 63000 / ¥ 10.2 = 6176 keys

= 15,588 keys, rounding to 15,600 keys

I see I see.. noted. May resugg, waiting on zest for a screenshot of trade

I will be able to get price records for the keys, now waiting on Zipel for a response.

The closest thing I can get for buff key prices, is the sales based off of SCM.

https://imgur.com/wXPKdys "Steam Price Trend", "View steam market"

I won't be able to get more accurate prices until I can hopefully get Zipel to respond to me, but anyways, here are the SCM key sales during those times

Sale 1; Kato Challengers 2014 for ¥ 95998 on 2022/02/15.

SCM key prices (closest I could get was feb 16th): 2.83 CDN Key price in Canadian https://imgur.com/9QiqWpu

RMB price during sale: https://imgur.com/fy4bF0y Meaning at this time, each key was ~ ¥ 14.15.

95998 / ¥ 14.15 = 6784.31 keys

Sale 2; Kato Legends 2014 for ¥ 63000 on 2022/04/08

SCM key prices: Low of 2.73 CDN https://imgur.com/iUo7jDZ High of 2.77 CDN https://imgur.com/pk0fP7v, averages to 2.75 CDN

RMB price during sale: https://imgur.com/kHitJfB Meaning at this time, each key was ~ ¥ 13.75

63000 / ¥ 13.75 = 4581.818181etc

=11,366.12, rounding to 11,350

I'm not sure if there is a way to see seller price history on the site, but as I said, waiting on a response from Zipel. Anyone else who is able to help is welcome.

Have gotten word for some people, gonna resuggest

hm sold so fast

dude imagine

clown fiesta

Here are the screenshots for the 2nd trade (2 kato capsules)

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1849301289009366685/132C9A4233AE25959B54ED9BBED3D56462A5902E/

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1849301289009418364/08C961A95D62FE7B56EECA80117C49BB53BDA476/

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1849301289009420245/2986A310451B4D1397CD51E5BF9AA12A0317E7B1/

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1849301289009427597/CD5EDF33EAA392DC783DDEAE2B0C641D27ABAF06/