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History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/4433243477
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/463;5;u3072
$139.99 / $1.73 = 80.92 keys ~81 keys
History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/2677873673
70 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127971615#!/compare/1646438400/1646611200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065733542#!/compare/1646524800/1646611200
History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9506895854
https://mannco.store/item/440-aurora-polaris-unusual-taunt-the-schadenfreude
$80 / $1.62 = 49.38 keys ~49 keys
Sales at 49, 70 and 81.
49 looks like the outlier here, it's further apart from the 2 other sales and it's below buyers too
Taking 70-81 keys here