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Month 1 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-10T22:44:08.392Z
1 @ 13 keys
Month 2 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-05-10T22:44:08.392Z
2 @ 11 keys 1.44 ref
Month 3 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-04-10T22:44:08.392Z
1 @ 10 keys 18.55 ref
2 @ 14 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31209;5;u202
$29.99 / $1.77 = 16.94 keys
$29.99 / $1.75 = 17.14 keys
https://mannco.store/item/440-frantic-spooker-unusual-spooky-head-bouncers
$22.95 / $1.61 = 14.25 keys
Two recent listings at ~12 keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic+Spooker+Spooky+Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-06T05%3A29%3A00.000Z
most likely sold at ~12
Classies: https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic+Spooker+Spooky+Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-10T02%3A07%3A00.000Z
Buyers at ~10, sellers at ~12 and ~29
Including all pure sales with a 10 - 14 key range, ~17 seem like outliers.
Blaze:
10 looks low here given the number of buyers at 11 - 12 keys currently
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-07-09T16:52:54.221Z - also 4 recent sales at 11 - 12 keys.
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-21T14:07:31.927Z - new sale at 16~ keys and multiple buyers at 16~ keys as well atm
Should I go 11-16 here?
i recommend checking if there have been any other recent sales first but it does seem that 11 may be a bit low now
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114039731#!/compare/1658966400/1661990400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043834548#!/compare/1659312000/1661904000
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1658966400/1659052800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1658880000/1659052800
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-07-29T10:16:10.000Z
14 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1659571200/1659830400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311744280#!/compare/1659571200/1659744000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-04T15:09:50.000Z
9 keys match, incomplete (at least 12+)
https://backpack.tf/item/10835987320
Gambling
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143912133#!/compare/1654473600/1654905600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134603763#!/compare/1654473600/1654905600
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-06T20:11:47.000Z
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134603763#!/compare/1654905600/1654992000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199190065455#!/compare/1654905600/1654992000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-12T04:40:56.000Z
Cursed Confinement Taunt: Panzer Pants (~7 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6300d20f4217f668230e9108) + ~3 keys = 10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199190065455#!/compare/1654992000/1655078400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143789627#!/compare/1654905600/1655078400
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-12T05:11:20.000Z
11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143789627#!/compare/1660348800/1660435200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376885782#!/compare/1660262400/1660348800
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-13T02:29:51.000Z
16 key buy order?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376885782#!/compare/1660348800/1660435200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198935925371#!/compare/1659571200/1660435200
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-14T11:45:50.000Z
12 keys match, incomplete, probably at least 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198935925371#!/compare/1660953600/1661472000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846853467#!/compare/1661385600/1661472000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-20T01:53:24.000Z
Refracting Fractals Undercover Brolly (at least 15 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Refracting%20Fractals%20Undercover%20Brolly&at=2022-09-03T21:16:10.507Z) + 3 keys? = 18 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846853467#!/compare/1661644800/1661731200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440460554#!/compare/1661385600/1661644800
Head-Bouncers + 1 key for Unusual Taunt: The Victory Lap Unusualifier (~17 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20The%20Victory%20Lap%20Unusualifier&at=2022-09-03T21:18:53.865Z), 17 - 1 = 16 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440460554#!/compare/1661644800/1661731200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198862425745#!/compare/1661644800/1661731200
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-08-28T22:10:51.000Z
Seems to be 12 keys, does seem low given classies tho
https://backpack.tf/item/11650114520
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-19T10:11:27.000Z
Likely ~12 keys
->
dump
->
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-29T00:56:40.000Z
Likely ~13 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/10977126354
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-25T09:42:56.000Z
Likely ~13 keys
gladiator dump
QS.store dump
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-06-28T21:36:25.000Z
Likely ~13 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31209;5;u202
New sale at $24.31/1.88 = ~13 keys
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-09-03T21:25:57.648Z
More sales at ~16 keys
Classies: https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Spooky%20Head-Bouncers&at=2022-09-03T21:27:05.844Z
Buyers back down to ~11 - 12 keys, sellers 18 - 19+ keys
Given the sole sale above 16 was 18 (which involved a new unusual), and the general array of lower sales, I think 11 - 16 keys seems appropriate?
i'm happy with 11 - 16 keys here