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Instance: https://backpack.tf/item/11882107182
Sale 1:
0 buy https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307230510#!/compare/1660608000/1660953600
0 sell https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067393144#!/compare/1660780800/1661212800
Roboactive Das Gutenkutteharen + Miami Nights Bomber's Bucket Hat FOR 430 pure keys
400 + x = 430
x = 30
Mini for Roboactive Das Gutenkutteharen:
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Roboactive+Das+Gutenkutteharen&at=2022-08-15T23%3A35%3A00.000Z
buyers 211, suggestion avg 300
Traded instance: https://backpack.tf/item/10633707143
0 buy https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307230510#!/compare/1660608000/1660953600
0 sell https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068086148#!/compare/1660694400/1660953600
Roboactive Das Gutenkutteharen was sold for 400 pure keys.
Because in this particular trade it was sold for 400 pure Im taking 400.
Sale 2:
1 buy https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067393144#!/compare/1656892800/1659657600
1 sell https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1659052800/1659225600
Untraceable
Sale 3:
2 buy https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1658275200/1658448000
2 sell https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357570427#!/compare/1658275200/1658361600
Quicksell
Marketplace sales:
100$/1.95$ = 51 keys
Sales: 30, 51
Considering current market state taking range 30-51
For sale 1, you will need some evidence that shows that Roboactive Das Gutenkutteharen was valued at 400 and the Bomber at 30 in that trade (you could ask the buyer/seller for confirmation), otherwise I would advise against using that sale, especially since it's very bulky.
The marketplace.tf sale on Aug 11 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30547;5;u61 should work out to $99.99/1.89 = ~53 keys, but I feel like that seems a bit high at this point given the multiple unsolds at 49 keys https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Miami+Nights+Bomber%27s+Bucket+Hat&at=2022-08-28T23%3A49%3A00.000Z
I would advise against using either of those sales.
There's potentially a sale at 46 keys you could use here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1659052800/1659225600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067393144#!/compare/1656892800/1659657600
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Miami%20Nights%20Bomber%27s%20Bucket%20Hat&at=2022-07-31T00:08:45.967Z
May be worth confirming this sale with the buyer/seller