Sellers at 100 suggest the 123.7 sale should be excluded and buyers at 69 indicate 28.2 is low but 71.5 is in-range. Setting the range to 70 to 100, rounded for neatness.
Given the 3 month old seller at 99 keys, 99 is probably going to be a bit high here (99.4 should also round down to 99 as a side note, but that doesn't end up mattering now)
If there are no new sales 88 could be the new high end
New sales in December that could be included here as well (one of them is probably lower than ~72)
Interesting, the time machine shows the bot as selling at 99, but on the snapshot from the suggestion it's at 100. Doesn't actually matter here, but it looks like a quirk of the time machine.
Thanks for the heads up on the SCM sales from today, the first one (55.8) is under buyers but the second one (69.75) should support the low end.
I think 100 for the high end should still work since a third of the sales are at/above that value. The bot hasn't sold its copy but there's other sales around it. If this were a more common item I'd agree with you though.
I believe the reason it shows up differently in the snapshot is because Loღe_Bot[24/7] lowered their listing from 100 -> 99 and it's remained unsold all this time
I'd reckon that last sale at 58 should be included here given it's pretty recent (the lower SCM sale at 56 also supports including).
100 could still be the high end as you said, although I'd personally go with 99 at least, given there are two unsolds at that value now.
Yeah you'd think Gladiator would have functionality carved out for that.
Thanks for the extra links, I think I have the 69 key one since that link was from when I opened this suggestion. I'll look into the history you linked soon but so far we have:
28.2
55.8
57.5
~buyers cutoff
69.5
71.5
80
87.6
~sellers cutoff
99.4
100
102
123.7
This is a funky one since there's proof enough to support a very wide range (55-100) and there aren't enough sales in the middle to get a solid central value. I'm tempted to say the below-buyers and above-sellers bands support 70-87 as the range. I'll dig into that history and see if it can provide more insight though.
87.6 would round to 88, but yeah, I could see either 70 - 88 or 58 - 99 working here
Couldn't find anything definitive in that history unfortunately. Closest I could find was the bot selling the DR but I couldn't match any histories - I'm guessing it was the 95 pure since it's a bot but I also couldn't find a matching listing. I think 70-88 is a much more usable range than either 58-99 or 70-100, so I'll resuggest with that + the new proof. Thanks for helping with this one!
Backpack.tf - 2 sales
https://backpack.tf/item/5029739675 - 80 keys
https://i.imgur.com/0I6tglN.png
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032789419#!/compare/1666656000/1666742400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1666656000/1666742400
https://backpack.tf/item/2139064346 - untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960443194#!/compare/1660780800/1661385600 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093248910#!/compare/1660089600/1661385600 - untrace
Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/59;14 - 2 sales
Sep 10 2022: $239.99 / 1.94 = 123.7
Aug 7 2022: $199.99 / 1.96 = 102
Key prices: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
SCM
https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US¤cy=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer - 3 sales
Sep 14 2022: $152.982 / 2.14 = 71.5
Sep 18 2022: $60.84 / 2.16 = 28.2
Sep 22 2022: $189.24 / 2.16 = 87.6
Mannco.store
https://mannco.store/item/440-collectors-dead-ringer - 1 sale
Sep 5 202: $175 / 1.76 = 99.4
Key prices: https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2022-09-05&site=mannco.store
Summary:
28.2
71.5
80
87.6
99.4
102
123.7
Sellers at 100 suggest the 123.7 sale should be excluded and buyers at 69 indicate 28.2 is low but 71.5 is in-range. Setting the range to 70 to 100, rounded for neatness.
1 more: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer - 69.5
Supports the low end of the range.
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer&at=2022-12-20T20:00:52.268Z
Given the 3 month old seller at 99 keys, 99 is probably going to be a bit high here (99.4 should also round down to 99 as a side note, but that doesn't end up mattering now)
If there are no new sales 88 could be the new high end
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer
New sales in December that could be included here as well (one of them is probably lower than ~72)
Interesting, the time machine shows the bot as selling at 99, but on the snapshot from the suggestion it's at 100. Doesn't actually matter here, but it looks like a quirk of the time machine.
Thanks for the heads up on the SCM sales from today, the first one (55.8) is under buyers but the second one (69.75) should support the low end.
I think 100 for the high end should still work since a third of the sales are at/above that value. The bot hasn't sold its copy but there's other sales around it. If this were a more common item I'd agree with you though.
I believe the reason it shows up differently in the snapshot is because Loღe_Bot[24/7] lowered their listing from 100 -> 99 and it's remained unsold all this time
The other one sold I think: https://backpack.tf/item/12226985329
Some Gladiator sales I just found:
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer&at=2022-10-20T21:26:07.389Z - ~69 keys
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer&at=2022-11-20T21:26:07.389Z - 100 keys? Presumably from the history above, may require confirmation
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Collector%27s%20Dead%20Ringer&at=2022-12-20T21:26:07.389Z - ~58 keys
I'd reckon that last sale at 58 should be included here given it's pretty recent (the lower SCM sale at 56 also supports including).
100 could still be the high end as you said, although I'd personally go with 99 at least, given there are two unsolds at that value now.
Yeah you'd think Gladiator would have functionality carved out for that.
Thanks for the extra links, I think I have the 69 key one since that link was from when I opened this suggestion. I'll look into the history you linked soon but so far we have:
28.2
55.8
57.5
~buyers cutoff
69.5
71.5
80
87.6
~sellers cutoff
99.4
100
102
123.7
This is a funky one since there's proof enough to support a very wide range (55-100) and there aren't enough sales in the middle to get a solid central value. I'm tempted to say the below-buyers and above-sellers bands support 70-87 as the range. I'll dig into that history and see if it can provide more insight though.
87.6 would round to 88, but yeah, I could see either 70 - 88 or 58 - 99 working here
Couldn't find anything definitive in that history unfortunately. Closest I could find was the bot selling the DR but I couldn't match any histories - I'm guessing it was the 95 pure since it's a bot but I also couldn't find a matching listing. I think 70-88 is a much more usable range than either 58-99 or 70-100, so I'll resuggest with that + the new proof. Thanks for helping with this one!