There is another sale (creds K1ng):

Strange Aces Woodsman (relisted for 28) + Strange F-T Spider's Cluster Black Box (War Paint is under a key) + 2 key taunt + 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073818313#!/compare/1667952000/1668038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146666239#!/compare/1667692800/1669248000

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange%20Aces%20High%20Winter%20Woodsman&at=2022-11-23T10:32:57.000Z

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Spider%27s%20Cluster%20War%20Paint%20%28Field-Tested%29

This sale is around ~40, significantly lower than the 125 sale. Also, given how fast the unboxer sold the hat (untrace sale) I would bet that sale is close to 40 than 125.

This will need to remain unpriced unfortunately.