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Requested by https://backpack.tf/u/76561198367981056
https://backpack.tf/item/1224786770
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153671643#!/compare/1665964800/1667779200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1666224000/1666656000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm%20Tam%20O%27%20Shanter&at=2022-10-17T04:28:43.000Z - 900 buyout
https://imgur.com/a/6etX9xC (Credits Kolt)
1:1 w/ Green Black Hole Conjurer's Cowl (798, mini below)
[Mini for Green Black Hole Conjurer's Cowl:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1668470400/1668556800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153671643#!/compare/1668211200/1668556800
https://gyazo.com/fdb32af33f116bb9ad9666a2d68d8e70 (Credits Kolt)
1:1 w/ Head of Steam Lucky Cat Hat, wouldn't be more than 550 given buyout https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Head%20of%20Steam%20Lucky%20Cat%20Hat&at=2022-11-15T12:26:33.000Z, also doesn't have usable sales
This was also a tradeback of the previous sale for the GBH Cowl, so I don't think this sale should be used regardless.
| https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045749377#!/compare/1661212800/1661299200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1661212800/1661299200
Head of Steam Lucky Cat Hat was sold in bulk for Demonflame Salty Dog, I would be dubious to use it here |
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251704884#!/compare/1660694400/1660953600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198858235255#!/compare/1660694400/1660780800
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Green%20Black%20Hole%20Conjurer%27s%20Cowl&at=2022-08-17T05:35:37.000Z - 800 buyout
Outdated sale, GBH Cowl + Haunted Ghosts Crone's Dome (227, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6327cf8e597c5cba5604cc9f) for Harvest Moon Conjurer's Cowl
{Mini for Harvest Moon Conjurer's Cowl:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1660089600/1660176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198858235255#!/compare/1660089600/1660176000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Harvest%20Moon%20Conjurer%27s%20Cowl&at=2022-08-10T20:37:36.000Z - 1111 buyout
(Taking outdated/buyers since this is too many minis)
Circling TF Logo Blighted Beak (225)
+
Harvest Moon Grimm Hatte (500 buyer? https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Harvest%20Moon%20Grimm%20Hatte&at=2022-08-10T04:57:08.000Z)
+
Harvest Moon Glengarry Bonnet (there's a buyer at 300? well... https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Harvest%20Moon%20Glengarry%20Bonnet&at=2022-11-20T21:41:23.074Z)
=
225 + 500 + 300
=
1025 keys}
1025 - 227 = 798 keys, pretty close to 800 key buyout.]
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1668729600/1668816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367981056#!/compare/1668729600/1668816000
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm%20Tam%20O%27%20Shanter&at=2022-11-18T10:45:47.000Z - 750 buyout
https://imgur.com/a/pvfKYv0 (Credits Kolt and Counsel)
25 keys
+
Burning Flames Blast Defense (190)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
$444.44/1.98 = ~224 keys, high
https://mannco.store/item/440-burning-flames-unusual-blast-defense
$350/1.84 = ~190 keys, more in line with current sellers, Kolt relisted at 195 alongside other sellers https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Burning%20Flames%20Blast%20Defense&at=2022-11-20T21:53:17.891Z
+
Burning Flames Boxcar Bomber (~138)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972195151#!/compare/1668643200/1668729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367981056#!/compare/1668643200/1668729600
145 keys
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Boxcar%20Bomber&at=2022-10-20T21:54:02.091Z
130 keys?
130 - 145, ~138 keys.
+
Burning Flames California Cap (105)
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Burning%20Flames%20California%20Cap&at=2022-11-18T22:26:18.000Z
~94 buyers at the time, so taking this older sale at 105
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20California%20Cap&at=2022-10-20T21:56:33.855Z
~105 keys
+
Cold Cosmos Detective (65)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31277;5;u243
$269/1.98 = ~136 keys
$269/1.98 = ~136 keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Cold%20Cosmos%20Detective&at=2022-11-18T22:26:18.000Z
Buyers at ~65, sellers 123-130+
Going to take buyers at 65 since it's clear the value of the hat is dropping, Kolt relisted at 123 as well https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Cold%20Cosmos%20Detective&at=2022-11-20T08:59:22.000Z
+
Burning Flames Glengarry Bonnet (156)
https://mannco.store/item/440-burning-flames-unusual-glengarry-bonnet
https://backpack.tf/item/10586049874
$289.99/1.86 = ~156 keys
+
Burning Flames Ze Goggles (105)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1668643200/1668729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367981056#!/compare/1668643200/1668729600
1:1 w/ Frozen Icefall Bumble Beenie (~105, https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frozen%20Icefall%20Bumble%20Beenie&at=2022-11-20T22:14:20.239Z, Kolt relisted the Goggles at 112 https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Burning%20Flames%20Ze%20Goggles&at=2022-11-20T08:59:22.000Z
=
25 + 190 + 138 + 105 + 65 + 156 + 105
=
784 keys, safely caps at seller's 750 key buyout.
So 798 -> 750.
Since the mini for the first sale is outdated and rather imprecise (and higher than the second sale), using the second sale alone seems most appropriate. First sale also certainly supports 750 as a raise.
Taking 750 flat.
Just a bunch of gambles - https://backpack.tf/item/1224786770