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Sale 1:
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1659484800/1659571200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1659484800/1659571200
Sale 2:
Sold for 330$ on marketplace in Sep 10
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/97;5;u87
330/1.94=170
Sale 3:
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163008022#!/compare/1660003200/1661558400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1660867200/1660953600
Sale 4:
Looks like sold for 163k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045080988#!/compare/1657497600/1658361600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1657411200/1657497600
Sale 5:
Sold for 399.99$ on marketplace in Oct 16
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/97;5;u87
399.99/1.99=201k
Sales:
170
163
201
Taking 163-201
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1660867200/1660953600 - Sale 3 was 165 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1662508800/1663027200 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251704884#!/compare/1668902400/1668988800 - Sold for 240 Keys
https://mannco.store/item/440-frostbite-unusual-tough-guys-toque - Sold for $270 (149 Keys)
I highly doubt pepedox paid 163 Keys with a buy order at 123 Keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frostbite+Tough+Guy%27s+Toque&at=2022-07-11T02%3A10%3A00.000Z
Many, if not all, of the Keys aren't traceable to the Toque seller, so sale 4 won't be usable.
150 - 200 would work as a rounded-off range using the newer sales.
You shouldn't bother using sale 4 at this point, it's been so long....
163 (Sale 4) should be included since it was in-date when the original suggestion was made
I know that's the standard line, but it really shouldn't be. The suggestion was left to sit way too long, besides there are two recent-enough sales that can be used rather than making the range use the much-too-old sale. This suggestion is purpose-defeating if it's already (partially) outdated, especially when it could easily be made to be recent/valid