reopened it for a more accurate price range

sale 1

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290331062/compare?from=1663286400&to=1663459200 - 190 keys

sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083926038#!/compare/1656806400/1656892800 - 140 Keys

sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1662076800/1662422400 - Added 109 Keys for a Harvest Juju (use there)

sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1662076800/1662422400 - Added 109 Keys for a Harvest Juju (use there)

thank you Shuffle Spy (https://backpack.tf/u/76561198085880346) for informing me on the new sales

You forgot 2 sales from my original comment.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198935532676#!/compare/1660867200/1661644800 - Sold for a Time Warp Birdcage + Small Items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065842276#!/compare/1665792000/1666656000 - Added 52 Keys + Pro KS Aussie Knife for a Kraken Gnome

140 is now outdated, but it wasn't when the original suggestion was made. There was a different sale that same week (which I missed) for 134 Keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198935532676#!/compare/1656547200/1656720000

After BloodiestBanana paid 134 Keys, they sold this for the Birdcage and smaller items. The Birdcage was supposedly given back to tacocat to broker, and it was sold for 155 Keys, so that sale would be ~185 Keys. tacocat then sold this for 190 Keys, but the person who paid 190 dumped it in the Gnome sale.

The buyer in the Gnome sale sold this for 130 Keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074563126#!/compare/1668038400/1668124800

There was a buyer at 138 Keys when the Gnome sale occurred

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Modest+Metal+Pile+of+Scrap&at=2022-10-24T06%3A24%3A00.000Z

But the 130 seller had this listed at 140 for ~1 week

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Modest+Metal+Pile+of+Scrap&at=2022-11-11T08%3A13%3A00.000Z

That gives us 140 -> added 110 for the Harvest Juju in one history and 134 -> 185 -> 190 -> added ~83 for the Gnome -> 130

The 134 and 140 sales happened within 3 months of the Juju, Birdcage, and 190 sales but not the Gnome or 130 sales.

There's currently a 3 week-old seller at 170 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Modest+Metal+Pile+of+Scrap&at=2022-11-24T01%3A50%3A00.000Z

https://backpack.tf/item/11776112992

130 - 140 would work here.

All Credit to tacocat and Shuffle Spy!