Suggestion: Bonzo the All-Gnawing Chieftain's Challenge at 2100 keys

Price Suggestion

~2100 keys

bonzo

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 17 Dec 22 18:58:15 +0000 by Shuffle Spy.

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Credit to Shuffle Spy for the help with the minis

Mini for Poisoned Shadows Whirly- https://backpack.tf/suggestion/631e70e2370836f3a404a323

Shuffle Spy:

The person who paid 2166 for the Chieftain dumped it in a backpack sale a month later. - Exclude

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1661126400/1661299200

It then sold again for a lot of items (~640 Keys) + Tavish (167.5) + Lucky (300) + Revolver (78) + Bat Hat (98.5) + Beak (450) + Peak (362.5) + 16 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1663027200/1663200000

640 + 450 + 362.5 + 300 + 167.5 + 98.5 + 78 + 16 = 2112.5 Keys = ~ 2100 keys

Going 2100 keys flat.

Mini for Purple Energy Throttle Head - ~ 21.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12089149580

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198968015999#!/compare/1666137600/1666656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127652476#!/compare/1666137600/1666656000

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Purple+Energy+Throttlehead&at=2022-10-20T20%3A27%3A00.000Z B/O 21 Keys 24 ref = ~ 21.5 keys

640 + 450 + 362.5 + 300 + 167.5 + 98.5 + 78 + 16 +21.5 = 2134 Keys = ~ 2100 keys

I think 2134 should round to the nearest 50 here, so ~2150 keys, not sure if any of the other items also need to be mini-ed as well

Yeah I remember there were a bunch of items low tier items.

It's not actually 2134. The Throttlehead was counted twice in that sum. The larger comment below with the actual minis has the correct sum.

Understood thanks.

Credit to Vege for the mini:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30743;5;u122 - The Peak sold for $750 (~375 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039846030#!/compare/1667865600/1667952000 - The Peak also sold for a DBD Soldered + Planets Specs

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051930593#!/compare/1666742400/1666828800 - The Sensei sold for 350 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039846030#!/compare/1668297600/1668384000 - The Sensei also sold for a Cloudy Rag + 187 Keys

https://gyazo.com/c6958934b74769ad110f818b0c4cb955 - Confirmation of the Heavy Duty Rag sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132113819#!/compare/1666828800/1666915200 - The Rag sold for a Haunted Forever Blast + 2 Taunts

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259851349#!/compare/1666742400/1666915200 - A Moth Field Practice was also added to the Blast

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1667779200/1667865600 - The Blast sold for 150 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Orbiting+Planets+Spook+Specs&at=2022-11-16T02%3A04%3A00.000Z - The Planets Specs are <23 Keys

350 - 375 will work for the Peak, since the Rag sale will fit in that range.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6333784bb088fa7a560f50b6 - The Beak is ~450 Keys; none of the other sales are traceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1662336000/1662508800 - 246 of the 410 Keys are traceable, so I imagine that was 410

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889987634#!/compare/1654819200/1655251200 - The Lucky shot sold for a Scorching Specs + stuff

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Morning+Glory+Lucky+Shot&at=2022-06-15T01%3A35%3A00.000Z - That'll be capped at 300

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308121805#!/compare/1655510400/1655596800 - The Specs sold for 200 Keys + ~80 Keys of Unusuals

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889987634#!/compare/1655251200/1655596800 - The Vivid Beanies in the Specs sale were dumped for 40

The Guttekutenharen in the Specs sale was in-date at 42 Keys when that sale occurred.

https://mannco.store/item/440-distant-dream-unusual-bat-hat - The Bat Hat sold for $200 (118 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100477765#!/compare/1669248000/1669507200 - It also sold for items that'll cap at 79 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Distant+Dream+Bat+Hat&at=2022-11-24T19%3A59%3A00.000Z - The 79 Key buyout

79 - 118 averages to 98.5 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1666137600/1666742400 - The Tavish sold for a Beams Razor + 55 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Tavish+DeGroot+Experience&at=2022-10-20T20%3A15%3A00.000Z - That's likely capped at 160

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Razor+Cut&at=2022-10-20T23%3A26%3A00.000Z - The Razor had buy orders at 97 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Razor+Cut&at=2022-10-26T21%3A27%3A00.000Z - They got up to 100 Keys a few days later

https://gyazo.com/fc99d94c13537fd9d6b38907f5ada544 - It then added 80 Keys + ~5 Keys of Items for a Cloudy Moon Carouser's Capotain

https://gyazo.com/9522b614ff274f5873766266c62920e1 - It then sold for a bunch of items seen in the compare below that get capped at 175

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054712892#!/compare/1667347200/1667692800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Tavish+DeGroot+Experience&at=2022-11-05T20%3A14%3A00.000Z

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155371354#!/compare/1656720000/1658102400 - A different Tavish quicksold for 86 Keys

The Capotain sale would be better used for that, but 160 - 175 works for the Tavish

The 640 estimate was with everything except the listed larger items and the Keys. I gave a ballpark estimate of the values for the severely outdated or unpriced Unusuals from the sellers and buyers for the sake of showing that the sale would be a decent amount less than 2166.

The non-Unusuals (including the Headtaker) total around 487 Keys. With the Headsplitter (~13), that's 500.

The Broom (~20), Throttlehead (~30), Burstchester (~40), Front (~18), Results (~15), Tricorne (~17), and Reel (~20) gave the 640, but those are more likely to have differing values than the Headsplitter estimate.

Purple Energy Throttle Head (26):

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20Throttlehead&at=2022-10-12T19:13:46.825Z - ~18, 28 keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20Throttlehead&at=2022-11-12T19:13:46.825Z - ~21 keys (x2)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u10 - $89.99/1.95 = ~46 keys (high), $64.99/1.97 = ~33 keys

https://mannco.store/item/440-purple-energy-unusual-throttlehead - $39.99/1.83 = ~22 keys, $40/1.86 = ~22 keys, $26.54/1.84 = ~14 keys

Excluding 14 and 46 gives us a range of 18 - 33, ~26 keys.

For the Throttlehead, 18 is too low given its buy order price (18 was also a buy order sale).

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1669075200/1669420800 - Sold for 20 Keys

The difference there won't be substantial.

For the Reel Fly, it sold once for 25 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1666137600/1666742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079296534#!/compare/1664064000/1668384000 - The Machina sold for the Keys first

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Blizzardy%20Storm%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2022-10-22T03:25:32.624Z

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/630f76029eb77c1869093212 - The Results Are In was around 15 - 18 Keys at the time of the sale

https://mannco.store/item/440-green-confetti-unusual-front-runner - The Front Runner sold for $39.95 (23 Keys) around 3 weeks prior to the sale

The Tricorne has no other sales, though buyers were at 14 Keys at the time of the sale

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Circling+Peace+Sign+Tippler%27s+Tricorne&at=2022-09-15T21%3A22%3A00.000Z

That'd make the smaller items in the Chieftain's sale 500 + 26 + 16 + 35 + 25 + 16.5 + 13 + 14 = 645.5 Keys which makes the Chieftain's sale 2118 Keys, which we can round to 2100 keys.