Suggestion: Hot Macaw Masked War Paint (Minimal Wear) at 90 keys

Price Suggestion

~100 keys

40 votes up

4 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 20 Jan 23 05:00:12 +0000 by Longdog.

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Green Blue hot MW sold for 90 pure through paypal.

Sold for 162 USD / agreed amount of 1.8 = 90 keys

Proof of trade: https://gyazo.com/798dd9c749c910a25411636a4343d83f

Proof of transaction: https://imgur.com/a/5Mumvfc

Item: https://backpack.tf/item/12439192432

Reason why this was priced so high before because it was for a hot red gem, not some crappy unmatching macaw. This has been the only hot sale for mw in months (or even a year)

Key prices need to be derived empirically.

Current sales for keys on mannco is 1.9, so lets say they took a 5 percent fee. It equals out to 1.8.

https://gyazo.com/cb72e22d255a909b18cf4ee5f15e7246

Using mannco.store key prices for sales that happened off the site is not very useful. We also shouldn't be taking current key sale prices, but prices from a month or so ago.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6372ac2ac7cce519ea05158b this comment from lozangle is a good model, but only really serves as a key mini from early-mid November. Feel free to join the bp discord or reach out to me personally on discord if you need help.

Key Mini (From Lozangle)

"~~ $1.80 ~~

forum post: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80960-selling-0-keys-at-18-usd-paypal

trust thread: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561199183171982

2022-11-11 -> 548 sold ($1.80)

2022-11-12 -> 485 sold ($1.80)

2022-11-13 -> 234 sold ($1.80)

2022-11-15 -> 657 sold ($1.79)

total sold 1924, average price of $1.8

~~ $1.78 ~~

successful buyer at $1.78

forum post: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/81046-buying-tf2-keys-usd-184-sgd-230-29-rep%F0%9F%92%B0-no-minimum/

~~ $1.75 ~~

successful buyers at $1.75

forum post 1: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/68510-buying-keys-for-175-backpacks-via-paypal-490-rep/

forum post 2: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/78481-%F0%9F%92%B2-buying-keys-175-backpacks-items-paypal-bst-timezone-%E2%9C%85-over-160-positive-trusts-%F0%9F%92%B2/

forum post 3: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80968-buying-keys-at-175-paypal-and-173-crypto-100-trust

forum post 4: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76871-buying-keys-176-each-buying-backpacks-ref-tools-all-items-paypal-200-trust/

1.8 + 1.78 + 1.75 + 1.75 + 1.75 + 1.75 = 10.58

10.58 / 6 = 1.7633 --> rounded to 1.76

1500 / 1.76 = 852.27

Agreed key value of $1.75 does not change the price significantly. Suggestion is still valid.""

Ty ill check it out next time

Sorry if my comment wasn't clear- lo's key mini is only valid for that period in November. The sale you are reporting happened in early-mid Dec. I was showing you it to demonstrate how cash key minis should be done.

Potential key mini:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76871-buying-keys-178-each-buying-backpacks-ref-tools-all-items-paypal-200-trust/

https://gyazo.com/709e7632612661a7689b0bf9966190cd - Dec 13

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198031258757

100+ at $1.78

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80968-buying-keys-at-175-paypal-and-173-crypto%E2%A0%80%E2%A0%80buying-full-backpacks%E2%A0%80%E2%A0%80150-trust-ratings-250000-in-transactions/

https://gyazo.com/7c8279be60dd379108c889ed753194e6 - From Nov 16 to recent

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561199183171982?page=4&

~500 at $1.75

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80236-%F0%9F%97%9D%EF%B8%8F%F0%9F%92%B0-buying-tf2-keys-via-paypal-for-180-usd-each-%F0%9F%92%B2%F0%9F%97%9D%EF%B8%8F-%E2%9C%8540-positive-trust-ratings-always-buying%E2%9C%85/

https://gyazo.com/ac200e32372591399ac6ce98032439a6 - I assume $1.8

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049149130