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https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-H74rz9EMFG9YXt7iXJrw7dNpQStg1ob/view?usp=sharing
The image posted is the transaction I made on marketplace.tf
To find a proper price for the hat what should be taken into considerations is the: 1. Effect 2. Rarity 3. Grade 4. Class 5. Hat
1. The Effect of the hat averages for 168.05 keys on the 10 hats priced with it. The cheapest being Eerie Kraken Throttlehead at 39 keys a Mercenary Grade hat (3 of a kind) and most expensive a Herald's Helm 350 keys (1 of a kind) also a Commando Grade hat But i should also factor that the Eerie Kraken Phononaut is priced at 190 keys (1 of a kind) also Commando Grade that. with all these pricing using a base point of 200-100 keys to start with
https://backpack.tf/effect/Eerie%20Kraken
2. Since October 26 2022 to the time of this post in those 3 months there has been Only 5 of these hats but what makes something rare is challenging to measure this hat has the added benefit of being strange however there seems to be 5 of the just unusual variant making 50/50. When it comes to new hats with new effects the value changes based on preference but with it being new means not a lot out there yet. with that in accord The min and max with be affected by 20 keys
https://backpack.tf/stats/Strange%20Unusual/Dustbowl%20Devil/Tradable/Craftable/258
3. For case #137 the rate for the dustbowl Devil is 2.50% meaning if the unusual drop happens it's more likely to see a Mercenary Grade.
https://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Mann_Co._Supply_Crate/Retired_series#137
4. A hat being made for a specific class will affect the price based on how popular that class is but with no real definitive way see what is most and least played so in that case instead we can compare it to Engies other hats but again comparing the new to the old proves difficult. However looking further you can find a Eerie Kraken Lawnmaker, an engi hat from the summer 2022 case with the same: Effect, Grade, and Class. With that in mind we are looking around a 125 range
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Lawnmaker/Tradable/Craftable/258
5. Pricing a hat by it looks is subjective one of Engis most expensive hat is Texas Ten Gallon is a "Cowboy Hat" and this hat fits that theme
Notes/Pricing:
Price I paid for hat $200 USD = Roughly 118 keys
200-100 range based on effect
125 range based on Eerie Kraken Lawnmaker
20 key min max based on new hat and effect (Subjective)
Commando Grade
Cowboy Hat (Subjective)
Start with the 200-100 range and implement the min max of 20 giving 180-120
average out the range with the lawmaker of 125 giving 152.5 - 122.5 is the range
finally average the price i paid of 118 keys 135.25 - 120.25
You do know there's currently a price suggestion for this hat up already right?
I assume you mean I should've factor that in my suggestion however it doesn't show the "proof" of why it should be that price only showing it has been sold at that price
that is the proof it should be that price, prices are based off the sales that have happened
you dont just add value to the sale because its strange, it has to be suggested at the value it was sold for, also there was another sale before this
I never added value for it being strange, what I did say is I won't be affecting the value because it's strange
i misread ig, the way you put this all together is very confusing, the price is only what the sale was, nothing else should be factored into it
My previous attempt was just the sale but was apparently it was a price pulled from nowhere and didn't have proof using the quick convet here on 200 this comes out to 117-118 keys and I assume i can't change the suggested price here and I would need to make another post.
because your previous attempt had a range when only 1 sale was shown, you cant put price ranges for 1 sale only. your price was also just wrong, quick convert is inaccurate, if it was purchased from mp.tf you need to take the key value on mp.tf the day it was purchased and use that as the division number for 200
I did not factor in the strange variant due to it being 50/50 so far
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/?do=findComment&comment=627125
Guideline - for hats 100-200 keys, please round to the nearest 5 keys
item1:
https://backpack.tf/item/12253438401
sale1:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31297;5;u258;strange
2023-01-09 199.99
2023-01-09 key on marketplace.tf https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
2.02
199.99/2.02= 99.004950495
99 keys
Thank you for this i used the quick convert and got a different result