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SW woolen warmer -> DBD counterfeit billycock + C9 caribbean conqueror + bruised purple footprints DBD hotrod + 95 pure
https://gyazo.com/e6ed01ea5dd063242e722b9ab13126ce - proof of trade
https://backpack.tf/item/12299020804 - item history
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Counterfeit%20Billycock&particle=62 - old price, using current bot b/o at 16.3 keys
https://gyazo.com/13c2568473ba6fe828e6925f4135c82c
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Hotrod/Tradable/Craftable/62 - old price, using current bot b/o at 22 keys + 3-5 keys for the spell
https://gyazo.com/74a67da1905803f9907abfcf53a369f3
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Caribbean%20Conqueror/Tradable/Craftable/58 - old price, using current bot b/o at 16.5 keys
https://gyazo.com/ff7e53b6ee1d66862dc37f282ec6817c
95 + 16.3 + 25 + 16.5 = 152.8
https://gyazo.com/0686713e07d966c641be5f443aa5c41f - bought for 36 pure, in the trade it was valued at around 40, not including in my suggestion tho
https://gyazo.com/8cde37adfc8bcc120bad1c257c8dec9c - only other purchase of this hat thus far in early December, at the time of purchase it was valued at 160 in mixed, however prices of the hats used have dropped (103.5 keys total today using b/o and newest price suggestion for dbd bd, 120 using s/o), shouldn't discredit its original value or value from most recent trade imo
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Blast%20Defense/Tradable/Craftable/62 - dbd blast defence
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Hawaiian%20Hunter/Tradable/Craftable/243- cc hawaiian hunter
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Spooky%20Head-Bouncers/Tradable/Craftable/30 - bs spooky head bouncers
I think 153 keys is fair as a minimum in this case.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045749377#!/compare/1677542400/1677628800 - ?
Billycock sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271442469#!/compare/1676332800/1676592000 - 19 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074992626#!/compare/1673913600/1674864000 - Low
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1674604800/1674691200 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091585647#!/compare/1674691200/1681257600 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1675641600/1675728000 - ?
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Disco+Beat+Down+Counterfeit+Billycock&at=2023-05-06T14%3A28%3A00.000Z - 1 month seller at 18 Keys
Hotrod sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1678924800/1679702400 - Bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087763379#!/compare/1680048000/1680134400 - Well above the 50 Key buyout, so this shouldn't be used
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Disco+Beat+Down+Hotrod&at=2023-03-26T06%3A39%3A00.000Z
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087763379#!/compare/1681603200/1681689600 - ?
Your purchase at 36 Keys is perfectly valid to use here. Not sure why you didn't.
Conqueror sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1678492800/1678579200 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199079079285#!/compare/1674604800/1674691200 - 17 Keys + ~0.5 Keys of Items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1673827200/1673913600 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063658197#!/compare/1673654400/1673827200 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096569755#!/compare/1669161600/1669248000 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1669507200/1669593600 - 16 Keys + ~0.5 Keys of Refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358201430#!/compare/1669766400/1669852800 - Sprinkled Delights Throttlehead + Smoking BWW (low)
95 + 36 + 18.5 + 17 = 166.5 Keys, which can be rounded to 167 Keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30833;5;u270 - Seller at 147 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12264442163
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/146449414360268801/1104419538625380372/image.png
147 to 167 would work as a range here.
Closing due to lack of response.