Suggestion: Circling Peace Sign Brown Bomber at 24–30 keys

Price Suggestion

~29.5 keys

peace

25 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 19 Feb 23 02:28:44 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

I would appreciate advice from more knowledgeable unusual suggester, but doing my best.

Sale 1 (Feb 5, 2023):

1 day auction on https://scrap.tf/auctions/TY0SG3

Final bid - 24 keys

Sales 2-4 are all from https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/671;5;u18

Sale 2 (Jan 28, 2023):

$65.99 / $2.00 = 33 keys

Sale 3 (Dec 26, 2022):

$65.99 / $2.20 = 30 keys

Sale 4 (Nov 22, 2022):

$65.99 / $2.00 = 33 keys

Sale 5 (Nov 16, 2022):

From https://mannco.store/item/440-circling-peace-sign-unusual-brown-bomber

$38.00 / $1.87 = 20 keys

Conclusion:

3 consecutive months selling 30+ keys in cash on mp.tf, but two active sellers in classifieds for 27.1 keys. Median price range of suggestion is 27 keys, so two active listing fall within range. Not including 20 keys in range due to active buyers above this price in classifieds.

Any help with determining range would be greatly appreciated!

A few other histories here to account for.

https://backpack.tf/item/12559629091

https://backpack.tf/item/8154533460

https://backpack.tf/item/1541655251

Your second mp.tf sale (Dec 26), actually has an avg key price of ~$2.12

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2022-12-26&price=65.99

~31 keys, which is too high anyways.

Weird, I see $2.20 for avg key price on 12/26. Also, do you recommend any edits to range/suggestion?

If you click on the data pt itself you’ll see all sales on that day at different prices. I would exclude 30 and just take 24 flat since there’s two sellers at 27

I don't think a 24 hour auction is an accurate representation of value. Also, two sellers at 27 keys, doesn't negate the entire range between 24-27

Yea, but the range is based on sales, not where sellers are. If there's no sales between 24 and 27, then there shouldn't be a range there. Theres another dump here as well @~24, not sure which history it belongs to however.

Right, that's why I created a range based on sales, not sellers. There are 3 sales in the past 3 months at or above 30 keys. I'm not sure where this second sale at 24 keys is coming from, but that'd still be in range.

I forgot to link the stats page lmao.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Peace%20Sign%20Brown%20Bomber&at=2023-02-06T01:49:03.374Z

But yea, i'm saying that those sales above 27 are too high since there's two sellers at 27. It wouldn't make sense to include them until the two 27s sell.

Closing suggestion, there are now 3 sellers below high-end in the classified. However they've moved from 27 keys to 27.6 keys. Also, bot buyers have moved up to 24.2 keys.