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Credit to Snorre, Anything, Shuffle Spy, and Fevomore for the help!
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/63ae31570f07d8891605ffd7
1) Knifestorm Tipplers Tricorne for the Hellfire Larrikan Robin (ongoing price at 690 keys) plus a ~6 key Macaw RL (Credit to Snorre!) --- 696 keys = 690 keys
Hellfire Larrikan price suggestion at 690 keys:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6391b447843e7dc8b7036e8c
https://backpack.tf/item/1199968444
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133319499#!/compare/1672099200/1672185600
Trade confirmation:
https://gyazo.com/df0f36093cce0e6d63b8fbea07e8f622
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm+Tippler%27s+Tricorne&at=2022-12-27T23%3A02%3A00.000Z - B/O 690 Keys
This will cap out 690 keys.
The buy order for 550 keys is for the spelled version and the non spelled is at 420 keys.
2)
https://backpack.tf/item/1199968444
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128130998#!/compare/1672358400/1672704000
Sold for a Burning Flames Medic Mountain Cap (recently priced at 200 keys) and a Frostbite Modest Pile of Hats - use there
690 - 200 = 490 keys for Modest
3)
https://backpack.tf/item/1199968444
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#t12551234182
Sold for a Frostbite Horrific Headsplitter, Starstorm Slumber Modest Metal Pile of Scrap, Phosphorous Whoopee Cap, and an Antifreeze Western Wear.
There's no usable sales on the Frostbite Headsplitter and as that unusual is the majority of the trade I would have to exclude this sale.
Revised
All credit to Anything for the help
Open to revise to 690 - 950 as well
3)
https://backpack.tf/item/1199968444
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#t12551234182
Sold for a Frostbite Horrific Headsplitter, Starstorm Slumber Modest Metal Pile of Scrap, Phosphorous Whoopee Cap, and an Antifreeze Western Wear.
There's no usable sales on the Frostbite Headsplitter and as that unusual is the majority of the trade I would have to exclude this sale.
The frostbite headsplitter was sold for 185 + a d@d fruit shoot + ge salty. That’s like ~185 + 150 + 100
4)
https://backpack.tf/item/1199968444
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#!/compare/1673222400/1673308800
Af western wear was sold for 53keys + dbd rifleman + sf handcrafts + pe translator
Headsplitter : 185 + d@d fruit shoot + ge salty dog (~450)
Phos whoopee cap : bubbling yellow belt + smoking hungover hero
Scrap : 45 keys
Total 450 + 250 + 45 + 200 : ~950
I recompiled all of em properly. The bubbling yellow belt had a past sale of 140 keys (from me to smuggs)
Hungover hero, i guess can just take the buy order (60 i think)
Shuffle Spy:
The Frostbite Modest has 2 other sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067903831#!/compare/1670803200/1671062400 - TC + Hat Outta Hell + Rocket + Kritzkrieg
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frostbite+Modest+Pile+of+Hat&at=2022-12-14T23%3A14%3A00.000Z - Buyout of 350 Keys if it matters
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139410003#!/compare/1671408000/1671753600 - Dazzling Woolen + Strange Molten Hat Outta Hell
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#!/compare/1671753600/1671840000 - It might've instead been for the D@D Company Man
Either the Modest sold for the Company Man which sold for the Hat Outta Hell + Woolen, or the Modest sold for the Hat Outta Hell + Woolen first.
The Modest will be <300 Keys, which will make its sale for this Tricorne very close to buy orders, so that can be excluded here.
The Company Man has these sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199218655033#!/compare/1670976000/1671062400 - Burning Mohawk + 95 Keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Company+Man&at=2022-12-14T18%3A09%3A00.000Z - Buyout of 275 Keys if it matters
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157964204#!/compare/1671235200/1671494400 - D@D Impaler (180 Keys) + Pumpkin Party Peak
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Company+Man&at=2023-02-09T01%3A13%3A00.000Z - The Company has sellers at 250 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319798435#!/compare/1674086400/1674172800 - Added a SFB Pirate for a SBTWC Whoopee
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993082614#!/compare/1670112000/1670457600 - The Whoopee sold for a Darkblaze Fez (900 Keys)
This sale is better for the Whoopee, but it supports the lower sales here.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063179541#!/compare/1674864000/1674950400 - 13th Noir (600 Keys) + 125 Keys
With the Whoopee and Modest sales supporting a lower value, the Headsplitter sale should be excluded as a high outlier here.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111970399#!/compare/1670284800/1670371200 - tc sale caps at 132
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Cloud+9+Team+Captain&at=2022-12-06T17%3A28%3A00.000Z
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1668729600/1668816000 - hat outta hell sold for 69? was listed for 80 but close enough
the rocket = 74 and the kritz = 10 at the time, so that's 285 keys for the modest
+ whatever the company sale is
which is like 250 even almost
that should be looked into further, but ~250 - 285 = 267.5, which gives a sale of 470 for the tricorne that should be the low end
Mini for Death at Dusk Company Man --- ~ 250 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7877899324
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262099084#!/compare/1671753600/1672272000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262099084#!/compare/1671753600/1672272000
Looks like included in a deal for a Nebula Universal Translator (recently priced by me at 467.5 keys).
Going 470 - 725 keys or an average of 597.5 keys flat.
Feedback welcome! Thanks in advance! Have a great day! :D
If it sold for the mountain cap and a frostbite modest why would it be: Sold for a Burning Flames Medic Mountain Cap (recently priced at 200 keys) and a Frostbite Modest Pile of Hats - use there
690 - 200 = 490 keys for Modest
And not modest + 200 = 690? I’m a bit confused.
Honestly, Rainy. That was a typo since my first suggestion was at 690 keys. I'll have to revise that sale 2. Thanks for letting me know though, broski. :)
Oh okay gotchu, glad I could help lol
Thanks again broski!
https://pastebin.com/NDyyvjr4 - The Burning Flames Mohawk should be 165 Keys, making its sale for the Company Man 260 Keys
https://pastebin.com/L62Pte1v - The Pumpkin Party Patriot Peak should be 81 Keys, making its sale for the Company Man 260 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103015460#!/compare/1676246400/1676505600 - A new Company Man sale happened that isn't traceable
As for the other Modest sale for the Team Captain,
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111970399#!/compare/1670284800/1670371200 - This sale for the TC is capped by the buyout of 132 Keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Cloud+9+Team+Captain&at=2022-12-06T17%3A28%3A00.000Z
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1668729600/1668816000 - Looks like the Hat Outta Hell sold for 69 Keys
The Rocket was ~74 Keys and the Kritzkrieg was ~10 Keys at the time, so that sale is 285 Keys for the Modest.
Valuing the Company Man as 250 - 260 Keys gives the Modest a range of 255 - 285 Keys, which averages to 270 Keys.
The Modest sale for the Tricorne is then 470 Keys, so this range is accurate.