New sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8607918290

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976086638#!/compare/1685923200/1687478400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189218413#!/compare/1687478400/1687564800

Seems to have been some sort of qs

87 keys match and buyers on the pe hat outta hell suggest that went for at least 45 keys or more. Untrace though

Excluding

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189218413#!/compare/1687564800/1687651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342708512#!/compare/1687392000/1687737600

41 keys

Taunt: The Box Trot - https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Taunt%3A%20The%20Box%20Trot/Tradable/Craftable - floating at 2 keys now?

The Lurking Legionnaire

Courtly Cuirass

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30615;6 - box trots at the time were going for only slightly above a key on marketplace though and various other sites.

I think the sweets will come out to about 2 keys max, so this sale is 43 keys mixed.

Conclusion:

With the new sale at 43 and a potentially even lower sale that could not be traced, changing the price to 43 - 51 for a 1.5k change seems worth it to me but wait for a mod comment.