Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13093495464

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1686528000/1686614400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376621418#!/compare/1686528000/1686614400

Bat hat was likely dumped to afford the head bouncers, there's a 30 key bulk that matches on seller side (Matches with [UPRPRC] Serene♪)

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/12054983364

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364447229#!/compare/1684281600/1686182400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203332862#!/compare/1686096000/1686182400

Looks like ~27 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203332862#!/compare/1686182400/1686268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127652476#!/compare/1686096000/1686182400

No clue

Sale 4

Probably transfer back to bot owner

Sale 5

Listed on mannco.store

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/11878153577

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1680825600/1680912000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1680739200/1680825600

No clue

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1683504000/1683590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259242019#!/compare/1683590400/1684972800

No clue

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/11213064484

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311265296#!/compare/1682812800/1686873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1686787200/1686873600

Can't load seller inv

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1686960000/1687046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039399614#!/compare/1686960000/1687046400

29 keys

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/10795891185

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829752579#!/compare/1685750400/1686355200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1685836800/1685923200

Can only match a handful of keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1686009600/1686096000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284435502#!/compare/1686096000/1686268800

28 keys match on buyer side

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/10750802744

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1685577600/1685664000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131348909#!/compare/1685664000/1686182400

Keys don't match

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31209;5;u200

$69.99 / $2.10 = ~33 keys (Apr 7)

$69.99 / $2.05 = ~34 keys (Apr 29)

Total Sales

27, 28, 29, 30, 33, 34

https://imgur.com/a/sVu4lPA

23 is incredibly new

Seller at 30 unsold for over 3 wks now

Taking a conservative drop of 27 -30 keys