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https://backpack.tf/item/3690618272
16 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1682208000/1682294400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199045756048#!/compare/1682208000/1682726400
It was then listed at 20 keys and has been unsold for 2 months, which also supports a drop https://imgur.com/uRycTZh