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Resuggesting! Thanks to Icycrevasse for the assistance and for PhsaeShifter for providing me with a sale!
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/7956467976
Sale #1
Seems to have sold for some keys but only 7 keys + a Pyro Shark, untraceable-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993488036#!/compare/1686873600/1686960000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252081876#!/compare/1686873600/1686960000
Sale #2
Sold for a Frozen Icefall Yule Hog (26 keys)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252081876#!/compare/1686960000/1687046400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412907835#!/compare/1686873600/1686960000
Sale #3
Sold for a Strange Kill-a-Watt Shellmet (using this sale to price the shellmet)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412907835#!/compare/1687046400/1687132800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198894100456#!/compare/1687046400/1687132800
Sale #4
Seems to have sold for some refined but nothing major shows up, untraceable-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198894100456#!/compare/1687132800/1688947200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1687046400/1687132800
Sale #5
Sold for an Orbiting Fire Professional's Panama (11 keys) + 12 keys = 23 keys-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1687132800/1687219200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847681350#!/compare/1687046400/1687219200
Sale #6
Seems to have sold with some keys but don't know what for, untraceable-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847681350#!/compare/1687478400/1687651200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244599385#!/compare/1687564800/1687651200
Sale #7
Sold for 19 keys but probably shouldn't be taken into account given it was a trade back?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244599385#!/compare/1687737600/1687910400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847681350#!/compare/1687651200/1687737600
Sale #8
Untraceable?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847681350#!/compare/1687737600/1687824000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139444147#!/compare/1687737600/1687824000
Sale #9
Sold for 18 keys + 15 refined-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139444147#!/compare/1687824000/1687996800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499085206#!/compare/1687564800/1688083200
Sale #10
Sold for 20 keys + a Purple Confetti Missing Piece (8 keys) = 20+8 = 28 keys-
Proof of sale
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $89.99 on July 14, 2023
Keys @ $1.95
89.99/1.95 = 46.15ish keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/600;5;u61
Sales @ 18, 19, 23, 26, 28, 46
Excluding 18 given the current buy order at 19 and excluding 28 and 46 given the current seller at 25, 26 should still be fine to use since it is a young seller however
Taking 19-26 here
https://gyazo.com/1f1c4db7ff5403dc38a60de14dbf3040 buyer at 21
And with that 19 sale being a bit of a weird sale (potential tradeback), 23-26 would seem better.
Alright thank you! Will resuggest again with the new price then