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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/12407673299
Sale #1
Sold for 23 keys + 2.22 refined-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1682812800/1682899200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168840544#!/compare/1682726400/1683072000
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/8849265816
Sale #2
Sold for 20 keys-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169939863#!/compare/1685318400/1686096000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057521901#!/compare/1685404800/1685664000
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/6521681933
Sale #3
Untraceable?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1687910400/1687996800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179968170#!/compare/1687996800/1690329600
Marketplace.tf Sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30001;5;u62
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $54.95 on May 23, 2023
Keys @ $2
54.95/2 = 27.48ish keys
MP.TF Sale #2
Sold for $50.87 July 2, 2023
Keys @ $1.96
50.87/1.96 = 25.95ish keys
MP.TF Sale #3
Sold for $49.95 on July 24, 2023
Keys @ $1.95
49.95/1.95 = 25.62ish keys
Sales @ 20, 23, 26, 26, 27
Everything except 20 is to be excluded given STN selling @ 21ish keys
Taking 20 flat
Considering that stn listings are only available on their own website and not backpack.tf, makes it likely that their listings are seen by less potential buyers. As opposed to bp.tf listings. As such I don't think it's a bad idea to just go with a 20-23 range here.
Supporting the above is the fact that 23 is a full pure sale, and that the price is still getting a drop anyway.
Ah alright will resuggest then! I did think just taking 20 because of STN was a little bit odd but now I understand why