Suggestion: Refracting Fractals Undercover Brolly at 12 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~16.5 keys

refracting fractals

46 votes up

6 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 16 Oct 23 19:03:15 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/12113683880

Sale #1

Untraceable, one key matches IDs but nothing else does-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1687132800/1687219200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057158858#!/compare/1686528000/1687824000

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13056987287

Sale #2

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1685145600/1685232000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032502511#!/compare/1687478400/1687478400

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/12932963428

Sale #3

Sold for 12 keys + 1.88 refined (ID "13086210871" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1685232000/1685318400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1684540800/1685491200

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/11979196527

Sale #4

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Hot Dogger? (would be too high here it seems anyways)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376885782#!/compare/1683244800/1683331200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199309946456#!/compare/1682640000/1683849600

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/11953649585

Sale #5

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1683158400/1683331200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198397662124#!/compare/1682294400/1683590400

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/11937807416

Sale #6

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206658677#!/compare/1685145600/1686787200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1685059200/1685145600

Sale #7

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1685836800/1685923200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004028164#!/compare/1685491200/1686441600

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/11928319275

Sale #8

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199090680701#!/compare/1684886400/1685232000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105569337#!/compare/1648166400/1685664000

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12089492446

Sale #9

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1683158400/1683331200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018333134#!/compare/1685491200/1685577600

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/11922568447

Sale #10

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1683158400/1683331200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1683244800/1683331200

Sale #11

Probably transfer between bots, untraceable otherwise-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1683504000/1683590400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1683504000/1683590400

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31262;5;u244

MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $34.99 on May 4, 2023

Keys @ $2.05

34.99/2.05 = 17.07ish keys

MP.TF Sale #2

Sold for $34.99 on May 5, 2023

Keys @ $2.05

34.99/2.05 = 17.07ish keys

MP.TF Sale #3

Sold for $39.99 on May 7, 2023

Keys @ $2.03

39.99/2.03 = 19.70ish keys

MP.TF Sale #4

Sold for $39.99 on May 9, 2023

Keys @ $2.02

39.99/2.02 = 19.80ish keys

MP.TF Sale #5

Sold for $39.99 on June 16, 2023

Keys @ $2.03

39.99/2.03 = 19.70ish keys

MP.TF Sale #6

Sold for $34.99 on July 14, 2023

Keys @ $1.95

34.99/1.95 = 17.94ish keys

MP.TF Sale #7

Sold for $34.99 on July 16, 2023

Keys @ $1.97

34.99/1.97 = 17.76ish keys

MP.TF Sale #8

Sold for $34.99 on July 24, 2023

Keys @ $1.95

34.99/1.95 = 17.94ish keys

MP.TF Sale #9

Sold for $34.99 on July 25, 2023

Keys @ $1.95

34.99/1.95 = 17.94ish keys

Sales @ 12, 17, 17, 18, 18, 18, 18, 20, 20, 20

Excluding everything above 16 because of current seller

Taking 12 flat here

New sales (credits Lemons)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1696809600/1696896000 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096692582#!/compare/1696377600/1696896000 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867668607#!/compare/1629590400/1697155200 - Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167020616#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149861037#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600 - Only 4 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1695427200/1695513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1695340800/1695600000 - Bulk

Buyers at 13+ and sellers at 16 and 17 now:

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Refracting%20Fractals%20Undercover%20Brolly&at=2023-10-16T14:50:41.395Z

https://backpack.tf/item/13670521204

https://backpack.tf/item/11954549498

Bunch of 16 listings a while ago, all untraceable:

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Refracting+Fractals+Undercover+Brolly&at=2023-08-16T21%3A13%3A00.000Z

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Refracting+Fractals+Undercover+Brolly&at=2023-09-14T23%3A47%3A00.000Z

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Refracting+Fractals+Undercover+Brolly&at=2023-09-17T02%3A00%3A00.000Z

So with all that in mind, 12 is the outlier here. Either 16-18 or 16-20 should work here.

I think taking 20 here should be fine given how many times it has sold at that price and also since the current sellers below that have only been listed for a few days! Will resuggest accordingly in a few minutes!