Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/12435585896

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191233941#!/compare/1685750400/1685923200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199747687#!/compare/1685836800/1685923200

Can only match a handful of ref

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/10638815400

Covering mp.tf at the end

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/9799056867

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447549607#!/compare/1671753600/1683849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1684022400/1684108800

No clue, can't load seller inv

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1684108800/1684195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183369422#!/compare/1684108800/1684195200

https://scrap.tf/item/Mega-Strike-Taunt-Soldiers-Requiem

~2 keys?

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183369422#!/compare/1684195200/1684281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1684108800/1684195200

Was probably 2 keys + a bit of ref but I can't say for sure here

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1687132800/1687219200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083005089#!/compare/1686960000/1687305600

Can't say for sure here, can match what seems to be an incomplete amount on buyer isde

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9261578599

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1684540800/1684627200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1684540800/1684627200

No clue

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1684627200/1684713600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141680546#!/compare/1685836800/1687392000

This was probably a mp.tf sale

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/8794713352

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110423788#!/compare/1684540800/1684713600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134791371#!/compare/1685232000/1686700800

No clue

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/8027179531

Covering mp.tf at the end

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/7056317565

Covering mp.tf at the end

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/4306762184

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112645964#!/compare/1565222400/1686873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428414883#!/compare/1686441600/1687910400

No clue, was a tradeit.gg sale

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428414883#!/compare/1687910400/1687996800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198932408033#!/compare/1686009600/1688947200

No clue, can't load seller inv

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198932408033#!/compare/1688947200/1689033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199150516172#!/compare/1688601600/1689033600

Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Shotgun + Painted Dead of Night + The Bruiser's Bandanna

Shotgun dumped for ~1 key, 70 ref

Dead of Night painted has buyers @ ~31 ref (https://imgur.com/a/dyg5NR6)

Bandana ~9 ref

1 key, 110 ref

~2.40 keys

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/4278003941

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133599822#!/compare/1687737600/1687910400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1687996800/1688083200

Probably gambling?

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1688342400/1688428800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303012368#!/compare/1686873600/1688428800

Can't even load buyer inv

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303012368#!/compare/1688428800/1686873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101376092#!/compare/1686873600/1688774400

Can't load seller inv

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/4276699167

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1690070400/1690243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199224789549#!/compare/1690070400/1690329600

Gambling?

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30673;5;u3010

$6.55 / $2.04 = ~3.20 keys (May 5)

$5.60 / $2.02 = ~2.75 keys (May 16)

$6.55 / $1.99 = ~3.30 keys (Jun 4)

$6.00 / $1.98 = ~3.05 keys (Jun 29)

$6.00 / $1.98 = ~3.05 keys (Jun 30)

$6.00 / $1.98 = ~3.05 keys (Jul 2)

$6.00 / $1.98 = ~3.05 keys (Jul 7)

$6.00 / $1.95 = ~3.05 keys (Jul 11)

$6.55 / $1.97 = ~3.30 keys (Jul 17)

$6.55 / $1.96 = ~3.35 keys (Jul 21)

$10.00 / $1.95 = ~5 keys (Jul 27)

Total sales

https://imgur.com/a/nnEA0wE

2, 2, 2.4, 2.75, 3.05, 3.05, 3.05, 3.05, 3.05, 3.2, 3.3, 3.3, 3.35, 5

5 is an outlier here

2 is more or less where buyers are

Taking 2.4 - 3.35 keys c: