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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/2039491446
Sale #1
Sold for 295 keys (keys in buyer's side match)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1686268800/1686441600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093234248#!/compare/1686009600/1686355200
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $529.99 on August 3, 2023
Keys @ $1.95
529.99/1.95 = 271.79ish keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/604;5;u44
Sales @ 272, 295
Rounding this and taking 270-300