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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/13176034099
Sale #1
Transfer or bulk?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868952224#!/compare/1686787200/1687910400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995983788#!/compare/1687996800/1688256000
Sale #2
Bulk for 70 keys-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995983788#!/compare/1689724800/1690156800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1688947200/1690156800
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $85 on August 5, 2023
Keys @ $2
85/2 = 42.5 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30977;5;u30
Only sale @ 43
Taking 43 flat
Seller at 38. Key price makes mp seller lower than this
Close and wait for new sales then?
I'd leave open for keys to stabilise. It seems the unsold is now around 42 instead
New sale:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30977;5;u30
$85 / $2.02 = 42 keys
This will be close enough. Seller at 38 has gone now.