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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/9925707924
Sale #1
Bulk sale-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199289676387#!/compare/1690243200/1690502400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178426383#!/compare/1689897600/1690502400
Sale #2
Sold with 10 keys for a Scorching Flames Classy Capper (using this sale to price the Capper)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178426383#!/compare/1691280000/1691452800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031148062#!/compare/1691193600/1691280000
Sale #3
Sold for a Scorching Flames El Fiestibrero (105 keys)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031148062#!/compare/1691280000/1691539200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874905974#!/compare/1691280000/1691539200
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $239.99 on August 13, 2023
Keys @ $2.05
239.99/2.05 = 117.07ish keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31171;5;u14
Sales @ 105, 117
Rounding and taking 105-115 here